Oregon Poll: Kerry 46, Bush 45

[Mattforclark]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Oregon_April.htm

April 26, 2004--Four years ago, Al Gore defeated George W. Bush in Oregon by about 7,000 votes out of more than 1.5 million. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey in Oregon finds that things are just as close today.

John Kerry currently has 46% of the vote in Oregon while George W. Bush has 45%. That single point between them is well within the survey's 4.5 percentage point margin of sampling error.

Adding Ralph Nader to the list has little net impact. With Nader included, both Bush and Kerry attract 43% of the vote while Nader polls at 8%. Without Nader named as an option, 6% of Oregon voters opted for "some other candidate."

[Alex146]

1. Isn't Oregon one of the most liberal states

what gives?

[mot78]

3. It's one of the most SOCIALLY Liberal states

From what Oregon DUers tell me, their state is Liberal or libertarian with a lower-case l.

[rucky]

4. Oregon is a perennial battleground state

extreme left & extreme right & a few California transplants in the middle. the left usually wins, but never by any more than a 2% margin or so.

[stevedeshazer]

10. Let me tell you as an Oregon native

I've lived here all my life, and the random person I might talk to on the street is more likely to have been born in California than Oregon.

There are 3 million Oregonians and 40 millions Californians.

I like Californians, just to set the record straight.

[Qutzupalotl]

5. Cities are liberal, rural areas conservative.

Lots of farmers, hunters, and fundamentalists support Bush. There's also a lot of antitax nutjobs on the radio around here. Plus lots of families here have sons in the military overseas, and feel they have to support the CiC.

[mot78]

7. I thought Oregon Repugs are more libertarian than Fundy?

[Qutzupalotl]

9. That sounds about right

(Libertarian). I'd say most swing voters will call themselves that. Really, they just want taxes to go away. We're starving our state now that fed funds are cut, because we can't pass a tax increase thanks to certain AM nutjobs.

But there's lots of god-n-guns fundamentalists, too.

[stevedeshazer]

6. Oregon is far from being the most liberal state

It is very closely divided. These poll results indicate it.

[rucky]

2. 8% WTF? Nader couldn't even get on the ballot

1000 signatures in one day to get on the ballot & he was 250 short.

as for the 45 for Bush, it's largely more poor folks voting against their own best interests.

[still_one]

8. This country is going to get what it deserves by re-electing bush