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sourmilk
Well, If NATO would work WITH Russia and tell them some valid point why on earth NATO would go into the Caucasus to have member states there, then Russia "maybe" get along, and don't push for dominate the area themself... Russia sees NATO as their biggest challenge to day. Even an energy starving China are not that dangerous as an NATO alliance who are coming to get into their own back jard.. I would guess USA would be little cranky to, if Russia had made a military pact with many of the states in South America, and reamered them with the latest weapon. And supported like, se an rather nationalistic President in Mexico, who want the area who USA stole in the 1890s by war... That is most of New Mexico plus spaces in Texas and California.. I would guess that the US would be more than just crancy then.... Now back to Georgia who have had problems with outbroke republics for a long time now. In fact from the beginning.. This areas are georgian on paper, but in fact are supported by the Russian army, because of the majority that are russian there.. Now after this war, it sees that it can end in the end of Georgian control over this two areas all toghter...
Many country, as you pointed out, have links to Russia, and it would be hard to cut this links to get "solo" and hurt Russia.. The country's know it. And more to the point Russia know it...
2 If US are banning Russia from the WTO, then the Russian federation could just stop do business with the rest of the world. It would hurt Russia, but it would hurt the rest of the world more... And an rather paranoid Russia, who are on their one, is something I would prefer to be a part of the past, than of the future... Russia have energy, and everything else they need. That is not the case of the rest of the world. Is Crauthammer sure about how BIG Russia in fact are?. Or are he in the belief that Russia ar just the european part of the Russian Federation?...
If US want to boycott the Olympic in 2014 then go ahead.. Then maybe, just maybe we can get cleaner OL athletes too.. But I would not believe that the rest of the European continent want to do it for some reason.. If some of the eastern european country want to follow suit to get some favor from USA in return, then it is bribe, and nothing else.. But some of the international Media, specially in the US would see it as an "victory for the human value of the US". Who after 8 year with mr Bush have been a hollow word.. A very hollow word.. It would at least take a generation to believe in the myth again that US are in some way "special" when it come to respect humanity and human valour..
United States was not keeping tab of the russian army, that is the fact.. After 17 year with an "breakdown" of the Russian war machine, many in the current administration seen to believe that they can provoke Russia, and nothing are coming out of it. They was somehow surprised by the fact that the Russian army, with all their fault could been sending all this troops, and armored convoys to Georgia as fast as they possible could do it. They believed in fact, that Russia was not to do nothing, if they wanted to push Georgia to take control over two areas who have been outside their control for so long now.
Condi Rice is a bitch, plain and simple. And she maybe be a good teacher, but not a good foreign minister. And she claim to be an expert on Russian affair, but fail to se the dots in this little adventure? And all this complain about how "disproportionate" the Russian army was hitting georgian army. This is the way the Russian army have been hitting enemies since time immortal.. Hitting them hard, at least so hard that they can't stop them, and then when it is over, police the area, to be sure that the peace are there for a while. Before been sending them home again. She must be stupid if she don't believed Russia to answer in kind when Georgia was attacking russian villages inside South Ossetia.. Not after 8 year with an sober President who have spending a lot of his time, and lot of the Treasury to building up the Russian army again... I believe that the Georgian intrusion into South Ossetia in some way was encouraged by the US. They want to be sure of Russia was there to watch, but they failed to understand that it would be a forcefully response. Georgia are not just a nabour of Russia, it was once a PART of Russia. And therefore inside THEIR line of influence not US.. And as you pointed out, the Georgian army are backed by the US, something that REALLY pissed the russian leadership off big time.
On the doorstep of Georgi Russia have one of their biggest army bases, who have been there for more than 40 year now. It was made in the old war, and was planing to be the base for an attack for Turkey, and for the rest of the eara if war ever was to broke loose. Thankfully the war never came, but the base was there.. When you have a lot of weapon on an doorstep of an other country,and the country is attacking their "brother en in need" then the answer should have been clear, even for a neo-con.. And it was clear that the Russian army was there to protect them. If it was real or not is not the case here I guess. THe most important is that it happened and that russia var telling both Georgia and US to back off.
Russia have told many former soviet union members now to don't go out of line. It is ok for you to be in depended and to do what you want to do to get a better life for yourself. But NOT get out of line anymore. Russia is back, and would if necessary treat one by one of you as they please.. If you respect us, we would respect you in return. If not, look at Georgia and se what we can do.. Be warned!! US can not and will not defend you against us if we was to go to war with you... And all this talk for NATO membership should close now!.
It could fail, and encourage many of the former Soviet members to BE member of NATO, to protect them self against Russia. But I guess that the message get out somehow..
The Caucasus and the Caspian area would getting a real shake up in the year to follow. It would not be that easy anymore to insult Russia in any way, and to play a double game anymore. It was more easy to play both sides when Yeltsin was in power. But after Putin, and now Medejev it would be far more difficult to play them both for favor. And the moral standing of USA have absolutely declined after 8 year with Bush on the top.. Russia is back in this area, and I would not be surprised that if Russia want to get a firmer control over the overall area..
For the moment US have NOT the means to protect their economic partners.. The whole adwenture in Iraq have drained US for both money and man power, to really do something about unrully Russia for the moment.. And Russia know it. US can bomb Russia, and others but have no boot on the ground. And everyone with half a brain understand that if you don't have boot of the ground, then you can just give it up in the first time..IF US was to conscript again, then maybe they god the army to play balls with Russia again, but just the word conscript, or an draft is to kill an political life in the US.. But if US was to protect all their "friends" in the Caucasus and in the Caspian area, and other places, it is maybe just as good to have an conscript army becouse then you DO have some forces on the ground...
Diclotican
Sorry my bad english, not my native language
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