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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 09:45 PM
Original message
The Exit Poll Quiz by TruthIsAll
Edited on Tue Nov-30-04 10:36 PM by TruthIsAll
1.In 2000, the networks, based on exit polls, called Florida for Gore early. But they later decided to call it for Bush.
Which is FALSE?
a) They were right when they called it for Gore.
b) They were right when they called it for Bush.
c) They were unaware that in mostly minority democratic precincts, 65,000 punched card under-votes (hanging chads) and 110,000 punched card over-votes (double and triplepunched) were not going to be counted.

2. In the last three German national elections, exit polls have been accurate to within
a) 3%
b) 2%
c) 1%
d) 0.1%

3. It has been said that the reason 2004 exit polls were off is that:
a) Republicans were ashamed to say they voted for Bush.
b) Democrats were anxious to vote for Kerry.
c) Women voted earlier than men.
d) Republicans waited to vote late in the day because it was raining in Ohio.
e) The long lines were actually Republicans who were very motivated to vote for Bush.
f) all of the above

4) The odds that 16 out of 51 states would exceed the Exit Poll margin of error and all move in favor of Bush is
a) 1 out of 187 million
b) 1 out of 250 million
c) 1 out of 4.5 billion
d) 1 out of 200 trillion

5) It's understandable that the media would claim the exit polls were off when you consider that
a) Exit Poll Pro Mitofsky has only been at it for 25 years.
b) Exit polls have a history of being very inaccurate.
c) They were all showing a solid win for Kerry.

6) Ignoring the Margin of Error, what are the odds that 41 out of 51 states would deviate by chance from the exit polls in favor of Bush in the vote tallies.
a) 1 in 1,000
b) 1 in 100,000
c) 1 in 1,000,000
d) 1 in 1,700,000

7) Bush absolutely needed to carry Florida AND Ohio to win the election. Considering that he was trailing Kerry in the exit polls in each state, the odds that he would win both is:
a) 1 out of 50
b) 1 out of 100
c) 1 out of 666
d) 1 out of 1000

8) Sixteen out of 51 states deviated by more than the Margin of Error in favor of Bush, and NONE to Kerry. This is most definitely
a) Magnificent Coincidence
b) Divine Intervention
c) Conspiracy
d) Bush Luck

9) Exit polls have proved to be extremely accurate since 1952 when the networks first started to use them to predict state elections.
They have always been correct except for
a) 1976, when Carter ran.
b) 1992, when Clinton ran.
c) 2000, when Bush ran.
d) 2004, when Bush ran.
Hint: there is more than one answer to the above.

10) Which statement is true?
a) Exit polls are used to prevent voting fraud.
b) Actual votes are used to prevent exit poll fraud.
c) Exit polls are really worthless, but Mitofsky needs a job.


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dweller Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 09:52 PM
Response to Original message
1. C
dp
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 01:35 PM
Response to Reply #1
37. AT 9PM I WILL POST THE ANSWERS. GO FOR IT. IT TAKES 5 MINUTES.
tia
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 08:31 PM
Response to Reply #37
56. LAST CHANCE TO TAKE THE TIA EXIT POLL QUIZ.
THE TIA SCHOOL OF FRAUDULENT ELECTIONS WILL CLOSE IT'S DOORS SHORTLY AFTER 9PM.

DON'T CHEAT. YOUR ANSWERS WILL BE PERMANENTLY STORED IN THE TIA ARCHIVES JUST IN CASE A RECOUNT IS NECESSARY.
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 09:09 PM
Response to Reply #56
60. OK, TIMES UP. PUT THE MOUSE DOWN! HERE ARE THE ANSWERS.
1.B
2.D
3.F
4.D
5.C
6.D
7.C
8.C
9.C,D
10.A

I WONDER IF ANY TROLLS TOOK THIS TEST ON THE SLY?
IF SO, WHY NOT TELL US HOW YOU DID?

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JohnnyCougar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 10:12 PM
Response to Reply #60
66. Yay...I win!!
What do I get, TIA?
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dweller Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 08:35 PM
Response to Reply #37
57. okay
1C
2C
3F
4D
5C
6C
7D
8C
9CD
10A


but if i flunk this test, i'm not going to repeat the next 4 years. . .i'm dropping out.


dp
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catnhatnh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 09:56 PM
Response to Original message
2. Simply Magnificent.....
Kick
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Bread and Circus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 09:57 PM
Response to Original message
3. TIA, what's your take on the NH recount?
Edited on Tue Nov-30-04 09:59 PM by Bread and Circus
It's got me kinda puzzled as I understand that the hand
recount didn't reveal any major discrepency w/ the "official tally".

This suggests that the Exit Polls were wrong, no?
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 10:04 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. I do not have all the info. I'm not sure all the data has been released.

I have always been suspicious of why there was a quick decision to recount NH. I will not elaborate my reasoning on this.

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Carolab Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 04:11 AM
Response to Reply #3
33. Not necessarily but
I read Cooper's e-mails to Mitofsky and he said they told the subscribers to ignore the NH polls. Why would that be?
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stellanoir Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 10:07 PM
Response to Original message
5. okay smarty pants
Edited on Tue Nov-30-04 10:08 PM by stellanoir
where the heck is the bloody cheat sheet?

okay I'll guess. . .just to prove that I'm a statistical dunce

1. definately c and possibly a
2. haven't a clue but to go on a total ethnic stereotype, Germans are known for their precision so it's probably c but I'll say d
3.f and it's all total BS
4. I think c only because I'm one of the teaming throngs of TIA groupies
5. c because they're all a bunch of bushbot whores
6. haven't a clue but I'll say d because I'm so irked about this and I wouldn't put it past them
7. d for the same reason as #6
8. none of the above but I'd say widespread systematic and diabolical fraud-conspiracy is simply not a strong enough term for what these wretched scumbuckets pulled off and it's far too blatant to be a conspiracy
9.easy one c & d
10. okay for the last one, I'll be optimistic again and say a

Please don't grade me. After this election I can't handle any more failure. That was a fun quiz though ! Thanks
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 10:23 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. I won't divulge your grade, Stella, but....
Edited on Tue Nov-30-04 10:25 PM by TruthIsAll
I'm sorry to inform you that you did not do as well as expected.

Marlon Brando still loves you in Streetcar.
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stellanoir Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 10:27 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. drats. . . foiled again
& boohoo. . .the only love for me in this world is from when I was a mere twinkle in my father's eye.

now will you divulge the cheat sheet???

pulllease. . .?
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 10:38 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. Patience, patience. You will get the answers in due course.
Let others take the test first.

I'll post the answers within a day or two.
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stellanoir Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 11:03 PM
Response to Reply #10
15. awww shucks &
okayyy
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Chasing Dreams Donating Member (294 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 10:13 PM
Response to Original message
6. Nice job, TIA - I hope I got these right
1. c
2. d
3. f
4. c
5. c
6. d
7. not sure, but since * is devilish I'll go with c
8. c
9. c and d
10. a
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 10:24 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. You passed with 80%.
Edited on Tue Nov-30-04 10:25 PM by TruthIsAll
You are hereby awarded a BS in Election Fraud (2004 style)
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Chasing Dreams Donating Member (294 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 10:44 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. Allright! I could use another degree
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stillcool Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 10:55 PM
Response to Original message
12. multiple choice is my fav...
1.b
2.c
3.f
4.c
5.c
6.d
7.c
8.b
9.c&d
10.a....BTW..does your brain hurt? Just reading this stuff makes everything kind of blurry.
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 11:03 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. You passed. Barely. 70%.
tia
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hootinholler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 11:02 PM
Response to Original message
13. Ok, I'll Play...
<Dons foil covered Cowboy hat>

01: b
02: d I mean C'mon these are the guys who thunked up headlight wipers
03: f All Lame, I would live to beat Rove with a nice clue stick
04: b Or was that the 11 state number?
05: c
06: d
07: c Just because I like round triplets
08: b :P Actually, all the possibles are equally absurd as the result
09: c,d
10: a


-Hoot
Waiting to be called a Freeper, again.
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 11:11 PM
Response to Reply #13
16. You passed with 80%.
You're the first cowboy to graduate from this bastion of Liberal Conspiracy Tin-foil freaks.
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witchhazl Donating Member (126 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 11:24 PM
Response to Original message
17. Can newbies play?
1.b
2.d
3.f
4.c
5.c
6.d
7.c
8.c
9.c,d
10.a
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 11:39 PM
Response to Reply #17
19. Quite a showing, Newbie. You lead the pack with 90%.
tia
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witchhazl Donating Member (126 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 01:45 AM
Response to Reply #19
21. I study hard, all your threads, TIA . Most humble thanks.
Edited on Wed Dec-01-04 01:47 AM by witchhazl
:-)
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intheflow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:04 PM
Response to Reply #17
44. Hey witchhazl!
Welcome to DU! :hi:
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Viva_La_Revolution Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 11:35 PM
Response to Original message
18. Okay, but be kind,
I've been drinking!

1. c
2. d
3. f
4. d
5. c
6. d
7. d
8. c
9. c, d
10. a

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 11:41 PM
Response to Reply #18
20. You got 80%. At least you didn't go AWOL to avoid the test like Bush.
tia
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prof_science Donating Member (343 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 01:54 AM
Response to Original message
22. Ooh, fun.
I think if I had paid closer attention to all your posts, TIA, I would ace this thing:
B D F B C D? C (C, but B according to *) C,D A
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:09 AM
Response to Reply #22
25. Prof gets 90%
.
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JohnnyCougar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:01 AM
Response to Original message
23. here
1. b
2. c
3. f
4. c
5. c
6. d
7. c
8. c
9. c, d
10. a
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:10 AM
Response to Reply #23
26. Go Johnny go: 80%
.
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JohnnyCougar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:15 AM
Response to Reply #26
31. Wait...I have it now
1. b
2. d
3. f
4. d
5. c
6. d
7. c
8. c
9. c, d
10. a
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JohnnyCougar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 10:08 PM
Response to Reply #31
65. did i get it right??
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scurvy_n_disastrous Donating Member (70 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:04 AM
Response to Original message
24. grade?
b, d, f, d, c, d, d, a, c&d, a (but c is not false).
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:12 AM
Response to Reply #24
27. It must be the disease: 80%
.
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scurvy_n_disastrous Donating Member (70 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:13 AM
Response to Reply #27
29. ouch nt...
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genieroze Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:13 AM
Response to Original message
28. What the heck... I'll give it a shot
Edited on Wed Dec-01-04 02:18 AM by genieroze
1 c
2 d
3 f
4 b
5 c
6 d
7 c ??? lol
8 c
9 c d
10 a
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Patsy Stone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:14 AM
Response to Original message
30. I like 10c ;)
c,d,f,b,c,d,b (although I'd love an "All of the Above" here :)),c&d,a (but C rocks)
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satya Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 04:06 AM
Response to Original message
32. Great quiz! (another newbie wants to try)
1.b
2.d
3.a
4.d
5.c
6.d
7.d
8.c
9.c,d
10.a

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intheflow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:05 PM
Response to Reply #32
45. Yo satya!
Welcome to DU! :hi:
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satya Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 07:24 PM
Response to Reply #45
54. Thanks, intheflow!
DU's reality-based community has been an oasis for me these past few weeks--wish I'd found you guys sooner! :pals:
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satya Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 07:27 PM
Response to Reply #45
55.  p.s. love your avatar! Is that original? n/t
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intheflow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 09:58 PM
Response to Reply #55
64. Believe it or not, it's religious iconography.
I'm a Unitarian Universalist and this was an artistic rendition of our symbol, the chalice, that I stumbled upon on the web one day. Fell in love with it!
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 07:56 AM
Response to Original message
34. AM kick
tia
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OmmmSweetOmmm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 08:09 AM
Response to Original message
35. Here goes! :)
1. a
2. d
3. f
4. b
5. c
6. d
7. d
8. c and d (depending on one's definition of Bush "luck"
9. c an d (Bush "luck?)
10. a
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 01:33 PM
Response to Original message
36. I'll post the answers 9pm. Meanwhile, let more DUers take it.
Edited on Wed Dec-01-04 01:57 PM by TruthIsAll
It will take you all of 5 minutes.

tia
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RevolutionStartsNow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 01:51 PM
Response to Original message
38. Ok, here's mine
b
d
f
d
c
d
c
c (and d, which is the same thing)
c,d
a


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tiptoe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 01:59 PM
Response to Original message
39. ok, the quiz teased me to sign up :)
1. b
2. d
3. f
4. d
5. c
6. d
7. c
8. c
9. c,d
10. a
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intheflow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:07 PM
Response to Reply #39
46. Hello, tiptoe.
Welcome to DU! :hi:
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newyawker99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 07:10 PM
Response to Reply #39
51. Hi tiptoe!!
Welcome to DU!! :toast:
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New Earth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 01:59 PM
Response to Original message
40. here's mine!!!
Edited on Wed Dec-01-04 02:12 PM by Faye
1) b
2) d
3) f
4) d
5) c
6) b
7) d
8) c
9) c, d
10) a
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New Earth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 09:10 PM
Response to Reply #40
61. yay
i got 80%!!!
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reality_bites Donating Member (120 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:00 PM
Response to Original message
41. You need to go...
.. here and explain to these fools how exit polls are ALWAYS accurate and are ALWAYS random samples:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

Maybe you should toss in a reminder about those exit polls in Germany.
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newyawker99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 07:11 PM
Response to Reply #41
52. Hi reality_bites!!
Welcome to DU!! :toast:
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intheflow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:01 PM
Response to Original message
42. Ooh! A real quiz!
Edited on Wed Dec-01-04 02:15 PM by intheflow
I'm both a political junkie and academic nerd, so I'll play!

1) c

2) d

3) f

4) b (I could have just as easily picked "c")

5) c

6) c

7) c (just because * = the Devil = 666)

8) c

9) c and d

10) a
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Alizaryn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:02 PM
Response to Original message
43. This is great and needs to be shared!
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keepthemhonest Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:09 PM
Response to Original message
47. i love a test
although I may not be that great at this one, because I cannot possibly read all of your posts TIA.

1 b
2 d
3 f
4 d
5 c
6 d
7 d
8 b (so @ 55 MIll americans would say)
9c,d
10 a


thanks for the fun
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BlueDog2u Donating Member (692 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:12 PM
Response to Original message
48. ok, here's my try.
1. c
2. b
3. f
4. a
5. c
6. d
7. a
8. c
9 c & d
10. a
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Chi Donating Member (921 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:12 PM
Response to Original message
49. What the hay, I'm game
1 - B
2 - D
3 - F
4 - d
5 - c
6 - d
7 - d
8 - c
9 - c&d
10 -a
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AllegroRondo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 02:33 PM
Response to Original message
50. Im new but I'll give it a shot
Edited on Wed Dec-01-04 02:34 PM by AllegroRondo
1) B
2) D
3) F
4) D
5) C
6) D
7) C
8) C
9) C and D
10) A
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Carni Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 07:18 PM
Response to Original message
53. My answers
1.In 2000, the networks, based on exit polls, called Florida for Gore early. But they later decided to call it for Bush.
Which is FALSE?
b) They were right when they called it for Bush.


2. In the last three German national elections, exit polls have been accurate to within
d) 0.1%

3. It has been said that the reason 2004 exit polls were off is that:
f) all of the above

4) The odds that 16 out of 51 states would exceed the Exit Poll margin of error and all move in favor of Bush is
b) 1 out of 250 million


5) It's understandable that the media would claim the exit polls were off when you consider that
c) They were all showing a solid win for Kerry.

6) Ignoring the Margin of Error, what are the odds that 41 out of 51 states would deviate by chance from the exit polls in favor of Bush in the vote tallies.
d) 1 in 1,700,000

7) Bush absolutely needed to carry Florida AND Ohio to win the election. Considering that he was trailing Kerry in the exit polls in each state, the odds that he would win both is:
d) 1 out of 1000

8) Sixteen out of 51 states deviated by more than the Margin of Error in favor of Bush, and NONE to Kerry. This is most definitely
c) Conspiracy

9) Exit polls have proved to be extremely accurate since 1952 when the networks first started to use them to predict state elections.
They have always been correct except for
c) 2000, when Bush ran.
d) 2004, when Bush ran.


10) Which statement is true?
a) Exit polls are used to prevent voting fraud.
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bleever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 08:40 PM
Response to Original message
58. The answers
1-b
2-d
3-f
4-d
5-c
6-d
7-c
8-c
9-c and d
10-a

:)
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Spiffarino Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 08:42 PM
Response to Original message
59. I'm going for it...
Edited on Wed Dec-01-04 08:48 PM by Spiffarino
1 b (Edit...I didn't notice you asked "which is FALSE"!)
2 c
3 f
4 c
5 c
6 d
7 d
8 c
9 c and d
10 a

...OK, let's see how I did!

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genieroze Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 09:26 PM
Response to Original message
62. Is it answer time yet?
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stellanoir Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 09:57 PM
Response to Original message
63. post 9 pm kick
still waiting on the cheat sheet. . .
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Spiffarino Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-04 10:56 PM
Response to Reply #63
67. I am too...are you on PST, ol' buddy?
:party:
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-02-04 12:29 AM
Response to Reply #63
68. Stella, look at post #60 (at the top). It's been there since 9:09.
tia
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