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JIM LAMPLEY: THIS IS FOR YOU. GO FOR THE KNOCKOUT!

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 02:09 PM
Original message
JIM LAMPLEY: THIS IS FOR YOU. GO FOR THE KNOCKOUT!
Edited on Sat May-14-05 02:51 PM by TruthIsAll
EXIT POLL ANALYSIS THREADS- UPDATED 5-14-2005

****************************************************
The Election Model predicted Kerry would win....
http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/

**************************************************
To Believe that Bush won.....
Edited on Fri May-13-05 10:21 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368702
****************************************************

National Exit Poll
2:05pm Nov.3, 13660 Respondents
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/US/P/00/epolls.0.html

National Exit Poll
12:22am Nov. 3, 13047 Respondents
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=265121

National Exit Poll
7:38pm Nov 2, 11027 Respondents
http://www.exitpollz.org/CNN_national2.htm

National Exit Poll Timeline (pdf):

11/2/04, 3:59pm 8349 respondents: Kerry 51-Bush 48
http://www.exitpollz.org/mitof4zone/US2004G_3737_PRES04_NONE_H_Data.pdf

11/2/04, 7:33pm 11027 respondents: Kerry 51-Bush 48
http://www.exitpollz.org/mitof4zone/US2004G_3798_PRES04_NONE_H_Data.pdf

11/3/04, 12:22am 13047 respondents: Kerry 51-Bush 48

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=265121

11/3/04, 1:25pm 13660 respondents: Kerry 48-Bush 51
http://www.exitpollz.org/mitof4zone/US2004G_3970_PRES04_NONE_H_Data.pdf

ELECTION 2004: THE COMPLETE GRAPHICAL REFERENCE
Edited on Sun Apr-03-05 01:57 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x352164


PROBABILITY ANALYSIS: THE RBR HYPOTHESIS IS VIRTUALLY IMPOSSIBLE!

Edited on Sat May-14-05 01:34 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368977


Can someone explain this RBR inconsistency?
Edited on Sat May-14-05 07:05 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368931


Freeper Logic: aBr, the Alzheimer Bush Responder Hypothesis
Edited on Fri May-13-05 10:38 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368831

MORE NUMERICAL EVIDENCE KERRY WON: 2004 TURNOUT SCENARIOS
Edited on Thu May-12-05 08:24 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368350


Probability that 86 of 88 BBV's would switch Kerry votes to Bush?
Edited on Thu May-12-05 10:43 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368585


3 NAT. EXIT POLL GRAPHS: TIMELINE, KERRY MARGINS, VOTER TURNOUT
Edited on Thu May-12-05 09:18 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368562


WHERE DID BUSH FIND 13 MILLION NEW VOTES?
Edited on Tue May-10-05 09:00 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x367638

BYE, BYE rBr: IMPLAUSIBLE VOTER TURNOUT SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Edited on Tue May-10-05 02:40 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x367600

Could 14.4% of Gore voters have voted for Bush?
Edited on Sun May-08-05 09:32 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=367160

YOU DECIDE: DO THESE FIVE SCENARIOS MAKE rBr IRRELEVANT?
Edited on Sun May-08-05
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=367129

Even assuming rBr, it takes a MIRACLE to reverse Kerry's 51-48% margin.
Edited on Sat May-07-05 02:30 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=367001

Our Evidence vs. Their Evidence
Edited on Sat May-07-05 01:22 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=366974


Yes, the Reluctant Republican Responder (3%) was a KERRY voter!
Edited on Sat May-07-05 03:05 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=366880

FEBBLE: WILL YOU COMMENT ON THIS MYSTERY?
Edited on Tue May-03-05 09:28 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=365850

The Reluctant Gore Responder (RGR)
Edited on Mon May-02-05 01:50 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x365133

A PUZZLE FOR DUERS: NATIONAL AND STATE EXIT POLL GENDER DEMOGRAPHIC
Edited on Sat Apr-30-05 01:22 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x364702

12:22am State Exit Poll Gender Breakout: Kerry won 329 EV
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x364645

HOW KERRY WON OHIO BY 51-48%
Edited on Fri Apr-29-05 10:37 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x364450

ALL YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT THE NEP TIMELINE
Edited on Thu Apr-28-05 07:25 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x363938

THE 13047 NATIONAL EXIT POLL CONFIRMS STATE EXIT POLLS WITHIN .06%
Edited on Sun Apr-24-05 11:44 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x362208

STATE / NATIONAL EXIT POLL ANALYSIS BY REGION
Edited on Sun Apr-24-05 03:10 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x362106

A TIA CHALLENGE: REFUTE THESE ODDS!
Edited on Sat Apr-23-05 06:16 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x361819

Z-score Probability (Bush Z>1 in 35 states): 1 in 4500 trillion
Edited on Sat Apr-23-05 01:28 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x361736

Red Shift: Z-scores and Probabilities. Take a deep breath.
Edited on Sat Apr-23-05 03:26 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=203&topic_id=361617&mesg_id=361617

The Exit Poll Gender Demographic: Another Smoking Gun?
Edited on Tue Apr-19-05 09:51 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=359779

Truth: 0 to 13,047; Fiction: 13,048 - 13,660
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=359789

The MoE Formula: Mitofsky agrees its 1.0% for over 8000 respondents
Edited on Fri Apr-15-05 05:15 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=357345

Bush Exit Poll Job Approval: A smoking gun?
Edited on Tue Apr-19-05 02:07 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=359320

TIMELINE
Edited on Tue Apr-19-05 02:30 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=359332

U.S. General Election Poll-7:37pm: "Estimates NOT for on-air use"
Edited on Tue Apr-19-05 12:31 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=359287

FL Optiscans vs. Touchscreens: Prob of 9% discrepancy (1 in 12.7 trillion)
Edited on Mon Apr-18-05 02:42 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x358495

Jan 3 post on the IMPOSSIBLE How Voted Weight
Edited on Sun Apr-17-05 04:29 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=358194

The National Exit Poll: A Tragedy in Three Acts
Edited on Fri Apr-15-05 10:59 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x357758

Ignore the RW spin. Calc the SAMPLE-SIZE for any MoE and confidence level
Edited on Thu Apr-14-05 09:53 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x356832

National Exit Poll Analysis: Using FACTUAL Historic Data
Edited on Mon Apr-11-05 10:58 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x355250

I'M REALLY CONFUSED. WAS THERE A (N)ATURAL (B)USH (R)ESPONDER?
Edited on Sun Apr-10-05 02:10 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x354894

WHICH IS IT: RBR OR EBR ?
Edited on Sat Apr-09-05 09:35 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x354809

OK, THERE WAS THIS BUSH "BANDWAGON" EFFECT...
Edited on Fri Apr-08-05 09:49 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x354407

RELUCTANT BUSH RESPONDER OR REINCARNATED BUSH RESPONDER?
Edited on Mon Apr-04-05 03:22 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x352359

Another National Exit Poll Mystery: The Gender Vote. Can you solve it?
Edited on Sun Apr-03-05 11:24 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x352276

Another Exit Poll Mystery- Party ID: Can you solve it?
Edited on Sat Apr-02-05 02:52 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x352065

From Selection 2000 to 2004 (NEP): Voted, Died, Reborn, Did Not Vote
Edited on Fri Apr-01-05 09:46 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x351954

IF YOU BELIEVE THESE 5 IRREFUTABLE FACTS, THEN YOU MUST ALSO BELIEVE...
Edited on Fri Apr-01-05 12:58 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x351776

A 9TH GRADE ALGEBRAIC SMOKING GUN.
Edited on Fri Apr-01-05 01:42 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x351674

FINAL EXIT POLL MYSTERY: THE IMPOSSIBLE 43% Bush / 37% Gore MIX...
Edited on Wed Mar-30-05 11:13 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x350713

SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: THE KERRY NATIONAL VOTE MARGIN OF VICTORY...
Tue Mar-29-05 08:35 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x350526

View the Mathematical FACTS for the TRUTH...
Edited on Tue Mar-29-05 10:38 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x350334

FASTEN SEAT BELTS. THIS IS THE CLINCHER.
Edited on Tue Mar-29-05 01:47 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x350225

WORTH REPEATING: FINAL NEP PADDED MINIMUM OF 3.85 MIL TO BUSH VOTE
Edited on Mon Mar-28-05 02:18 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x349796

KERRY WINS 60 OF 60 NEP SCENARIOS: NEW VOTERS VS. 2000 VOTER TURNOUT
Edited on Sat Mar-26-05 11:21 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x349444

THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO: KERRY WON BY 7 MILLION VOTES
Edited on Sat Mar-26-05 06:16 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x349275

Reluctant Bush Responder? Or Resurrected Bush Responder?
Edited on Fri Mar-25-05 05:43 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x348688

Part IV. To believe Bush won the election, you must also believe
Edited on Thu Mar-24-05 12:01 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x348022

HOW TO RED-SHIFT THE NATIONAL EXIT POLL IN 6 EASY STEPS...
Edited on Thu Mar-24-05 11:44 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=348456#

BASED ON THE U.S. ANNUAL DEATH RATE OF 8.7 PER 1000...
Edited on Mon Mar-21-05 09:30 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x347144

100% ABSOLUTE PROOF: FINAL NEP OVERSTATED BUSH VOTE BY AT LEAST 2 MILLION VOTES
Edited on Mon Mar-21-05 02:01 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x346932

THE MAGIC 613 FINAL RESPONDENTS: FROM 13047 TO 13660
Edited on Mon Mar-21-05 10:26 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x346890

FOUR VERY RED FLAGS....
Edited on Sat Mar-19-05 01:38 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x346284

THE NATIONAL EXIT POLL TIMELINE: THE FULL STORY IN 3 GRAPHS
Edited on Sat Mar-19-05 09:22 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=346481

PROBABILITY TABLE: Exit Poll Margin of Error vs. Vote Deviation
Edited on Thu Mar-17-05 12:37 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x345177

The Unexplained Exit Poll Discrepancy: Explained
Edited on Tue Mar-15-05 01:23 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=344005

A SUMMARY EXIT POLL MATHEMATICAL FORMULATION
Edited on Mon Mar-14-05 10:54 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x343448

IF THIS PRELIMINARY NEP WEIGHT WAS CORRECT, WHY WAS IT CHANGED?
Edited on Sun Mar-13-05 04:53 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x343168

Lynn Landes, this is for you.
Edited on Sun Mar-13-05 06:24 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x343312

THIS EXIT POLL SIMULATION TEST BLOWS AWAY THE NEDERLAND "PROOF"
Edited on Sat Mar-12-05 12:51 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x342913

Nederland agrees: The Recorded votes and Final Exit poll are bogus.
Edited on Fri Mar-11-05 10:29 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x342689

GRAPHS:1988-2004 Prelim. Nat. Exit Poll to Vote-Trend reversal in 2004
Edited on Thu Mar-10-05 11:11 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x341940

A Mathematical proof: Preliminary Exit polls are accurate
Edited on Thu Mar-10-05 09:01 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x341540

The Nat Exit Poll Crime Line: 7:58pm(K) to 12:22am (K) to 2:04pm (B)
Edited on Mon Mar-07-05 11:55 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x340029

Check. Mate.
Edited on Sun Mar-06-05 04:03 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=339246

NATIONAL EXIT POLL: PRELIMINARY TO FINAL - WHAT HAPPENED?
Edited on Sat Feb-26-05 01:23 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x334949

MITOFSKY EXIT POLL CAVEAT: "FINAL PERCENTAGES MAY SHIFT SLIGHTLY"
Edited on Fri Feb-25-05 12:02 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=334152

SO IT COMES TO THIS: DO YOU BELIEVE 13,047 OR 13,660?
Edited on Mon Feb-21-05 09:40 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x331601

PRE-ELECTION STATE POLLS vs. EXIT POLLS vs. ACTUALS
Edited on Sat Feb-19-05 12:02 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=330449

BLOWN TO SMITHEREENS: MITOFSKY'S "RELUCTANT BUSH RESPONDER" THEORY
Edited on Sat Feb-12-05 12:46 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x325206

THE MOST DEVASTATING STATISTIC OF ALL: 17% OF THE VOTERS WERE NEW
Edited on Fri Feb-11-05 01:05 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=323939

1/23 UPDATE: NATIONAL EXIT POLL DEMOGRAPHIC STATISTICS
Edited on Sun Jan-23-05 01:50 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=301075

Bush probabilities: Party-ID weights- National Exit Poll
Edited on Sun Jan-16-05 04:29 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=287175




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stellanoir Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 02:39 PM
Response to Original message
1. Consider sending this link to the Huffington Post
to insure his attention. Great work again TIA. Keep it up.
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 04:53 PM
Response to Reply #1
8. NON-RESPONSE BIAS? HERE'S WHY IT HURT KERRY MORE THAN BUSH..
NON-RESPONSE BIAS? HERE'S WHY IT HURT KERRY MORE THAN BUSH..
Edited on Sat May-14-05 05:46 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x369073
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-15-05 11:20 AM
Response to Reply #8
20. 86 of 88 voting machines switched Kerry votes to Bush votes
Edited on Sun May-15-05 11:26 AM by TruthIsAll
Probability that 86 of 88 BBV's would switch Kerry votes to Bush is..

1 in 79,010,724,999,066,700,000,000

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x369374


From the National Election Incident database:

State County Incident
Florida Palm Beach
Couple voted for Kerry -- when confirmed vote, came out Bush. Called in eleciton poll supervisor, who got same result. Continued to use machine.

Florida Miami-Dade
Andrea called to pass on anecdotal information that this happened; she has no first-hand information...voter machines would select wrong candidate when voter selected J. Kerry - G. Bush would be selected.

Florida Miami-Dade
When voter pushed button for Kerry, Bush came up on the screen.

Florida Miami-Dade
In precinct 249 we are getting reports that voters are pushing Kerry button, but Bush keep's coming up.

Florida Miami-Dade
Voter attempted to vote for Kerry and ballot showed vote for Bush instead; she left poll; she tried to clear it and it wouldn't clear; so she cast vote with Bush instead showing.

New Mexico Bernalillo
Reported that voters tried to vote for Kerry and Peroutka's name was recorded.

Texas Travis
Machines are confusing, if you straight Dem, then go back to review or change, a vote for Kerry is changed to a vote for Bush. But there is no paper receipt to verify the problem or if the vote was actually cast for Bush. Voter just received a warning from her precinct chair to that effect.

Florida Palm Beach County
Woman went to vote and used electronic voting machine. The two presidential candidates' names came up on the screen, Bush was first and Kerry second. She said she carefully clicked on Kerry but the check mark appeared next to Bush's name. She called someone over to help her and that woman told her to check on the mistaken check mark and it would remove the check mark. Then she could try again and check on Kerry's name. She did and it worked the second time. She was concerned that it took her two times to get her vote right.

Texas Bear County
Checked Kerry and it showed Bush as the person she voted for. Calling for her Aunt.

Washington Snohomish
caller calling for sister. contact information is for sister who experienced problem. polling place uses automated voting machine. voter selected kerry on ballot and reviewed results; showed a vote for bush. repeated at least 3 times before reults reflected kerry vote. told poll worker who responded that it had been a common occurrence already that morning.

Florida MIami-Dade
Voters selected Kerry and machine recorded Bush

Florida Miami-Dade Says brother told him he voted for Kerry on electronic machine and machine recorded vote for Bush.

Virginia Fairfax County
Voter went to vote early (Sat.) at county office in Reston. Filled out absentee ballot application and then voted on-site. First time he received a summary report the machine said he voted for Bush. He had not. He voted for Kerry. States pretty anal guy and the buttons are not that close together. Told workers on-site of problem, but they were convinced it was his fault. He was able to correct the problem, but in doing so had to push the Kerry button several times. The new/final summary report showed he voted for Kerry and not Bush, but his concern is that there is a problem with the machine and is concerned about tabulation. Voter reports it was a 10th District machine. ]

Florida Dade
caller, a volunteer poll watcher, reported that three people complained that their vote for Kerry, had shown as a vote for Bush, after they reviewed their ballots.

Pennsylvania Philadelphia
One machine malfunctioning; could not vote for libraterian or constitutional party candidate, voted for kerry; machine taken out of service

New Mexico Bernalillo
Voter pressed name box for Kerry/Edwards, Libertarian light came on. Reproducible problem, persistence by voter allowed correct vote; probably ballot misalignment. Machine Serial No. 010154

Florida Palm Beach
Caller voted for a presidential candidate, but when recap showed up it showed the incorrect presidential vote (she voted for Kerry and it showed up as Bush). She got a volunteer to help her, but wanted to file a comlaint.

Texas Florida
calling about woman in FL who was on CNN who says she voted for Kerry and other democrats but when she went to vote her ballot, votes had all switched to republican. She called in poll worker who told her to clear machine, which she refused to do. Attorney at poll called in and he suggested she be allowed to vote at another machine. He believes serial # of that machine should be recorded and that machine and all others like it need to be sequestered. Critical that machines be guarded.

New York Erie
kerry/edwards name partially covered - can only see Edwards name. heard on raio WBLK similiar problem reported (93.7 fm) didn't complain at site. becuase didn't think it was a problem until he heard on radio.

Ohio Mahoney
Poland-- Review pages from Kerry to Bush and people may not notice.Person heard it on radio talk show. Also in PA. Mercer County, Shenago township heard thatv if I wanted to vote party ticket, machine would lock up.ran out of paper ballots, told people to go home and come back later.

Florida Palm Beach
Person is reporting that someone he knows voted for Kerry using touch schrren machine but the summary of the vote showed that he voted for Bush.

Florida Brower
Voter voted for Kerry; when she reviewed the ballot it showed that she voted for Bush. Poll worker said that has been happening to many others.

New York Queens
Lever on machine for Kerry/Edwards does not work

Ohio Mahoning
Mother woting on electronic machine-pressed Kerry then next page of ballot notices vote recorded for Bush. Has a pollworker reset machine and them voted again for Kerry.

Florida
Lake Caller is concerned that voting machines are illegitimately discarding votes for Kerry. Believes electronic voting machines are rigged. Believes some initiatives are displayed along partisan favoritism. Entire development is pro-Kerry, landloards are all Bush supporters.

Ohio Mahoning
Caller's father voted on touch screen cmahine - for kerry edwards - when he went to check his vote - the vote had recorded Bush cheney ... he had to try 3 times to get the vote to kerry edwards. He told teh poll worker whose response was simply that the machine was tempermental.

Florida Pinellas
Voter selected Kerry and the voting machine showed that they had selected Bush - it took her many tried to correct.

Florida Broward
- machines switching are switching vote kerry to bush -- this ahappens prior to confirmation screen. - other voters complaining about the same thing

Virginia Fairfax
Kerry/Democratic vote became Republican. Tried to make it work all day; Mom & Dad went reopened; heard them say broken all day. Machines left to right - 1st machine on left - machine # 1175.

Texas Harris
Caller said when she voted a straight democratic ticket, the vote did not register for the presidential (Kerry) vote

South Carolina
Charleston Voted today, when pressed 1 party democratic choice Kerry did not light up, but others did on ticket. Did not report to anyone at polling place, but heard on radio that people were having problem.

South Carolina Richland
Micro voting machine: hit independent; blinking lights started flashing; he could not change the vote; he ended up voting for Nader, but wanted to vote for Kerry.

Texas Tarrant
Voted early around 10/14 electronically, had trouble with voting machine. First screen chose Democrat party, 2nd screen "Bush Edwards State Sen, John Kerry couldn't change or remove vote, then went to proposition, wants to know if her vote was accurately recorded.

Texas Harris
Not sure she voted for Kerry, voted straight party ticket

Texas Harris
Voter voted on the first early day to vote in Houston (october 18th) by electronic machine. Vother chose Kerry and when she checked her ballot she found that bush was selected. This happened one or two more times. By the third or fourth attempt kerry showed up as selected and voter submitted her vote.

New Jersey Unknown.
Report of machine problems in San Antonio and Austin TX. Voters who voted for Kerry noticed that the machine reported a vote for Bush. When this problem was addressed by the pollworkers, the change toa vote for Kerry locked in a vot for the entire democratic ticket.

New Jersey Bergen
Touch screen machine. When caller pressed screen for Kerry nothing happened. It was only after several attempts and after pressing screen for candidates in other races that pressing the Kerry section worked. After voting, the caller discussed with his wife and she had the same problem.

Illinois Cook
Punched Kerry Edwards, things chad for Bush-Cheney was punched on the actual card. Punched Obama, and Obama was punched out.

Illinois Cook
Voter went to vote (Punch Ballot) with wife. John Kerry is first punhc; GWB is second option. When looked at ticket, second was already pressed, tried to vote for JK. Wife had same experience (used a different machine)

Pennsylvania Philadelphia
the light for Kerry did not light up whatsoever. Pressed #1 for all Democratic candidates and no light for Kerry went on, the lights underneath Kerry which may have been the rest of the Democratic candidates were blinking. The light by Kerry was not blinking. Then hit vote. Most voters did not speak English. Most Haitian Americans who only speak Creole. Did report problem to polling official.

Pennsylvania Philadelphia
Machine was off when entered poll. The light for Kerry did not light up whatsoever. Pressed #1 for all Democratic candidates and no light for Kerry went on, the lights underneath Kerry which may have been the rest of the Democratic candidates were blinking. The light by Kerry was not blinking. Then hit vote. Most voters did not speak English. Most Haitian Americans who only speak Creole. Did report problem to polling official.

Pennsylvania Philadelphia
The vote button was placed too low and difficult to see. All the instructions are at eye level, but the vote button is at the lowest right hand corner of the machine. The candidate button for Kerry/Edwards-->the button to press is besides Edwards name not Kerry's name, so it's confusing.

California Sacramento
Voter at polling place: Benvenito's Restaurant in Boynton Beach, FL, reported that electronic ballot erred in selecting Bush when she clicked Kerry. Advise election official who addressed issue. Evidently fixed.

Washington Snohomish
Both caller and her husband said when they pulled up their electronic ballots, Bush was already checked. When they tried to switch it to vote for Kerry, had very difficult time unchecking the Bush box. Ultimately were successful.

Washington Snohomish
Machine would enter incorrect candidates repeatedly. Kerry votes changed to Bush and others. Other voters reported similar problem.

Colorado Weld
Caller voted on thursday at the Del Camino Center, Fredrick. Firestone CO. Voting was with touch screen Diebold machines. when voting for Kerry-Edwards, the electronic button did not light up and did not appear to register the vote. Caller's votes for other things did light up. Has called the newspapaers and TV stations about the problem. He has hired a lawyer but has not heard anything back from them about this. He demanded (and was given) a paper ballot. He is very upset about this and is alerting everyone he possibly can. I called this caller back and let him know that we are having EFF attys look into the problem. He informed me that an attorney in Greeley CO is going to go to the polling place to take al ook at the machines, but he did not get her name. He also informed me that the machines did not give a summary screen at what was supposed to be the end of the voting process.

Florida Palm Beach
Caller said when he went to vote, the ballot was repeatedly pre-selected for Kerry.

Georgia Clayton
Upon filling out her ballot (on touch-screen system), voter selected "Kerry" as part of a straight-Democrat ticket, but it displayed "Bush" instead. She called poll worker over to look at it, who reset her ballot and had her re-do it entirely. This was successful. Upon hearing her make a commotion in line about it, another voter ahead of her reported the same problem.

Georgia Douglas
Every time hit "John Kerry" name "x" would jump to "George Bush" happened two times

Georgia Douglas
Pushed Kerry Edwards, the x went to Bush/Cheney, she tried this three times, went to next page, went back to Kerry page, then re-entered Kerry and the X went to Kerry. Also, message says need picture ID.

Georgia Liberty
Voted Kerry -- pushed that button, jumped to Bush. Called for help; was able to remedy 2nd time also went to option above, not the one voter selected, but she was able to vote as she wanted in the end.

Kansas Johnson County
pushed Kerry/Edwards and it selected Bush/Cheney

New York new york
Jenny wanted to vote for Kerry under the working families party, not the democratic party, however row e of the voting machine (for working families party) was jammed. Instead of offering a paper ballot, the poll workers instructed Jenny to vote for Kerry under the democratic party, which she didn't want to do. Eventually, she was able to unjam the machine so that she could vote according to her preference, but her sister voted on the same machine and had the same problem, so she's afraid that it's going to jam again. Jenny said that a lot of the rows for the smaller parties seemed jammed or "tight."

New York queens
The John Kerry chad was hard to punch. None of the other chads for the democratic party candidates were hard to punch.

New York New York County
Volunteer for Kerry-Edwards was working
outside handing out flyers and voters were leaving from this polling site complaining that the machines were not working. They are now having voters use paper ballots. Voters are leaving frustrated without voting.

Georgia Fulton
He thinks that someone at church told his wife that voting machine entered vote for wrong candidate (tried to vote for Kerry, the machine registered a vote for Bush). He does not know any of the details or where the polling place is located.

Florida Broward
Machine changed candidate he was voting for (3rd machine from right, precinct 17M) Kerry highlighted, on review saw Brown(?) for president. Asked poll worker for help and poll worker had him start over. Voted successfully 2nd time.

Florida Broward
Voted for Kerry but machine showed Bush.

Florida Broward
After voter voted for Kerry, and when they tried to move to the next screen, if heel of hand brushed against screen, which was apaprently happening, vote switched to Nader and got cast for Nader. Kerry Poll Watcher said some had been caught and corrected, but who knows about all. Poll worker not helpful to EP mobile attorney. Was iVotronic machine

Florida Palm Beach Co.
Two voters, voting early, used electronic voting machine. They chose John Kerry for president but when they reviewed their choices before submitting their ballots, they found that George Bush was selected instead and they couldn't change the choice.

Florida Broward Co
Two unrelated people (taxi driver & store clerk told our volunteer they had voted on touch screens this week and screen showed they had voted for Bush when they know they voted for Kerry -- they got someone to change it before their vote was filed.

Florida Broward
At review screen, selection changed from Kerry to Bush "before my eyes" as voter pushed red button just before. Voter filed complaint with Kerry lawyer in polling place and told poll worker of problem, who said, "nothing could be done."

Florida Broward
3 or more women told person they voted "down the street" (precinct 39V) from the post office at 4429 Hollywood Blvd. They voted for Kerry but the name Bush came up on the sceen at the end, when they voted, when vote was processed

Florida Broward
Voter pressed "Kerry" on machine, but another name was indicated on the summary page. Voter was able to review & change the vote satisfactorily.

Florida Broward
I voted for Kerry and after the screen ask me to write in my vote. I ask a poll worker to assist me. The pollworker ask the repairman and I was allow to vote.

Florida Broward
Upon reviewing her ballot before casting her vote, the voter noticed that "Bush/Cheney" appeared even though she had chosen "Kerry/Edwards".

Florida Palm Beach
Caller has difficulty reading, so she invited me to accompanyher into the voting booth. Three times she touched the Kerry/Edwards frame on her screen and the machine did not highlight her selection. She was only able to correct this on the final screen that listed her selections. "change" directions were very small and easy to miss at the top of the screen. Caller was able to vote for Kerry/Edwards usiing this screen. Which directed her back to the original screen presidential vote screen. This time the machine accepted her selection.



Florida Palm Beach
Went to vote for Kerry and Bush popped up immediately. I called for help. Woman/precinct worker told him to touch screen for Bush and it popped up again for Kerry. Successfully voted for Kerry on second time trying.

Florida Palm Beach
Selected John Kerry/ green check came up in George Bush's name. Called over poll worker and they got creen to read John Kerry. She stated "it made me wonder if the machines are rigged."

Florida Palm Beach
While voting for Presidential candidate Kerry - had problems with accessing his name. Bush's name kept popping and taking "priority". On the review however it showed Kerry so voter completed vote.

Florida Palm Beach
Voter touched "Kerry" and Bush's name registered. I called poll worker and she told me how to erase Bush's name. We know of three today - maybe more!

Florida Palm Beach
Went to vote for Kerry and Bush popped up. Immediately called for help. Woman/precinct worker told him to touch screen on Bush and it popped up again for Kerry. Sucessfully voted for Kerry on second time.

Florida W. Palm Beach
Some people vote Bush instead of Kerry - concept of callabration - okay understand - works on second time. Democratic poll watcher inside aware of the prolbem.

Florida Broward
Unknown name came up on review screen, Walter F. Browne - after Kerry selected. Asked for help from election's worker, who suggested he do it over. He retried, got same result, and finalized vote without accurate screen.

Ohio franklin
machine not working for kerry monitors whispering
New Mexico Bernalillo When water hit one button another light came on. Was able to corect. Hit for Kerry and other candidate lit up (Green)

New Mexico Bernalillo
I assisted William Jones who lives in asssisted living; he pressed the "Kerry" button and the red light lit up "Libertarian," several names down the screen

New Mexico Bernalillo
Voter selection does not light up, other selections do. typically preside3ntial candidaTES from Kerry to 3rd party. Voter persistence seems to help

New Mexico Bernalillo
Voting Kerry, Perotka (sp?) comes up. 2 reports made through moveon to hotline

Ohio Mahoning
Pressed Kerry button, another candidate came up (not Bush)! Second try, it worked.

Ohio Mahoning
Selected Kerry and Bush's name came up. Selected Kerry a second time and only then did it remain Kerry. Her sister also had the same problem, and once she selected Kerry the second time it stayed.

Ohio Mahoning
Attempted vote for Kerry, responed as Bush/Cheney. Upon verification, went back and changed to Kerry/Edwards. Verified as OK, submitted.

Ohio Mahoning
Voted Kerry and Bush came up.
Florida broward
voter hit kerry button and check mark appeared next to bush. voter contacted poll worker to correct problem but the same thing happened whe she vote the rest of the ballot. she had help and was able to fix ballot before she left, but was concerned.

Florida Broward
One machine; told by Kerry monitor that when people voting for Kerry push "summarize". Another candidate's name shows up. Poll workers said, "didn't push hard enough." Said tech repairman has been dispatched.

Florida Broward
A person informed me of a friend who voted. The completed screen (precinct unknown) on the "review ballot" page wrongly stated that the voter had voted for Bush when the voter had selected Kerry. The voter reported this to an election official who responded, "Yes, that machine has been doing that all day."

Florida Broward
She had to select presidential choice 2x before correct choice was reflected. Got help from poll worker; successfully voted. Voted Bush, Kerry got highlighted. Can't remember which machine, maybe 2nd/3rd from right.

Pennsylvania philadelphia
Part of 1 of 2 machines wasn't lighting up -- wasn't able to vote for Liberatarian or Constitutional party; election judge said voter complained but just voted for Kerry & left.....

Florida Broward
Voter touched Kerry on screen, got Bush.(secondhand report from observer, no contact info for voter)

Florida Broward
Tried repeatedly to vote for kerry, got candidate underneath. Was able to vote for Kerry by touching more toward the Bush button. Machine against back wall, somewhere around the 4th or 5th from the right

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ooglymoogly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 05:09 PM
Response to Reply #1
10. why is the reply tab gone
thanks for keeping this alive tia...recommended because this is of the utmost importance to spread
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spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-15-05 05:03 AM
Response to Reply #1
17. Jim linked to a TIA post in his prior blog post--I'll bet he
finds it here!
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-16-05 12:47 PM
Response to Reply #1
27. KEITH OLBERMANN, ARE YOU LISTENING?
Edited on Mon May-16-05 12:49 PM by TruthIsAll
Keith, we hardly knew ye...

Lampley's a sportcaster, just like you were. He knows statistics and betting odds, just like you do. But I guess you decided that it would be safer bet just to go along with your bosses at MSNBC and stop talking about the election fraud.

Aren't you a litle miffed that Lampley came out and said what he firmly believes to be true and you cannot?

If you just spend a week reading the statistics in these posts, you'll see why you should not have abdicated the title of Sportcaster for Truth to Lampley.

Maybe NOW you'll get back into the arena.

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Land Shark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 02:48 PM
Response to Original message
2. kick
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chomskysright Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 02:51 PM
Response to Original message
3. thanks for staying on this: am circulating to NC Verifiable Voting
and putting in my files.

This is the most important thing we do----yes, even with our protesting---if we do not get this voting thing right:

WE'RE FUCKED.
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chomskysright Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 02:52 PM
Response to Original message
4. & IT reconfirms that the South must be carried and that means Hillary:
IS OUT.

Its a Repug ploy to keep putting her name forward.
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chomskysright Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 02:58 PM
Response to Original message
5. sent it to Lynn Landes, Kathy Dopp, etc.
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helderheid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 03:16 PM
Response to Original message
6. TIA
You're my hero
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fooj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 09:24 PM
Response to Reply #6
14. You bet he's a hero!
TIA- you are a true, American patriot!



Peace.
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bleever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 04:13 PM
Response to Original message
7. The Master Class on the theft of 2004 election.
What an incredible amount of work you've done, TIA.

What an impressive body of evidence and analysis with which to counter any and all questions, doubts, or counterarguments.

:toast:


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bvar22 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 05:02 PM
Response to Original message
9. Thanks...Good Work
Nominating, saving to HD, and sending to friends.
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Melissa G Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 05:39 PM
Response to Original message
11. Nominated! Thanks....Stellar! n/t
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vince3 Donating Member (224 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 06:03 PM
Response to Original message
12. Great Work, TIA
As always.
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autorank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-14-05 06:59 PM
Response to Original message
13. Recommended & KICK. Wow, Xmas is early for Mr. Lampley
I just sent him an email via HBO ("Contact Us") with this link. Anybody with a better way to contact Jim Lampley should send the link along.

This is what the call "the right stuff," "the goods," "the berries," or a DU special, "the Cat's Meow!."

Great stuff!!!!!

:kick::kick::kick::kick::kick::kick::kick::kick:
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kster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-15-05 01:27 AM
Response to Original message
15. KICK.NT
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autorank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-15-05 01:33 AM
Response to Original message
16. KICK AGAIN This should be nailed to the top of Elections...forever
:kick::kick::kick::kick::kick::kick:
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fedupinBushcountry Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-15-05 08:12 AM
Response to Original message
18. Question ?
Edited on Sun May-15-05 08:13 AM by fedupinBushcountry
Hi TIA

I have been reading your posts and you have done a fantastic job.

My question is, as I was reading the poll that you have posted above, in the religious section, Why do they add on the Evangelical when the other categories add up to 100% of the voters ? Isn't the Evangelical vote also represented in the protestant category ?

Also in the 2000 vote category, the 3, did not vote-17% Gore-39% Bush-41%, that only adds up to 97% of the voters, what happened to the other magical 3% ?

Keep up the good work. I applaud you. :applause:
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-15-05 08:23 AM
Response to Reply #18
19. Thanks
Edited on Sun May-15-05 08:24 AM by TruthIsAll
My question is, as I was reading the poll that you have posted above, in the religious section, Why do they add on the Evangelical when the other categories add up to 100% of the voters ? Isn't the Evangelical vote also represented in the protestant category ?

THEY just wanted to break out the category separately.
YES, Evangelicals are Protestants.

Also in the 2000 vote category, the 3, did not vote-17% Gore-39% Bush-41%, that only adds up to 97% of the voters, what happened to the other magical 3% ?

THEY forgot about NADER in the 13047 timeline. They show Nader voters at 3% the 8349, 11027 and 13660 (cough) timelines.
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Peace Patriot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-15-05 12:42 PM
Response to Original message
21. RECOMMENDED! Incredible work, TIA!
Preponderance of the evidence.
No reasonable doubt.
Any honest jury would convict.

Why isn't the ABCNBCCBSCNNFoxTimewarnerNYTWaPo news monopoly asking HOW touchscreens can change Kerry votes to Bush votes 86 out of 88 times, without someone having deliberately and criminally inserted lines of code into the machines instructing them to do that--thus casting serious doubt on ALL touchscreen votes and invalidating the election?

Just that one fact...

I mean...come on. It's simple, really.

You don't even have to go into the thousand other things that could not have happened (machines defaulting to Bush, machines deleting Kerry votes in a party vote ballot, machines counting backwards, deleting thousands of votes, machines reporting 4,000 votes for Bush in a precinct with only 600 registered voters, machines reporting more votes for an unknown local judge candidate than for president, similar anomalies all over the map, in addition to Kerry's big advantages over Bush--the Democrats' huge success in new voter registration in 2004 (nearly 60/40), most new voters voting for Kerry, big jump of Nader voters to Kerry, Bush's miserable approval ratings--and his day-long lead over Bush, all vanishing suddenly and magically at the witching hour on election night......).

AND their exit polls showed a Kerry win.

AND.
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autorank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-15-05 03:35 PM
Response to Reply #21
22. Kick for the coming week, Lampley is on BradBlog this week.
:kick:
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Valley Girl Donating Member (4 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-15-05 04:38 PM
Response to Original message
23. "Election Fraud for Dummies"
TIA,

I found this via a post on Brad Blog. Pretty overwhelming. I've seen some of these data before, so I don't need to be convinced. BUT, have you thought about writing a pamphlet or short book called something like "Election Fraud for Dummies"? This is my first post here, and I haven't followed DU that much, so forgive me if you've already done this, or someone else has.

I have to use statistics occasionally and I am reasonably "numerate" (also "literate") but I had a hard time taking in all of the analyses- brain started glazing over. So, this is not the kind of stuff someone is likely to attempt to understand in any depth unless they have a knack for numbers and statistics, and is predisposed to believe the conclusion.

Apart from any other motives behind the lack of MSM coverage of election fraud, is it possible that most reporters are simply not numerate enough to "get it"? I wouldn't be surprised, considering that the average store clerk wouldn't be able to give correct change unless the register told them what to dole out. Lampley obviously has enough odds-making experience to see the woods for the trees, but he's rare.

Hence the idea "fraud for Dummies"-- choose a few key sets of poll numbers, and explain these data step by step in a way that any dummy could understand? So that it couldn't be ignored, even by the casual reader? Something to hand out to reporters, congressmen, etc. etc.

Thanks for you hard work.
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-16-05 01:39 PM
Response to Reply #23
28. Thanks, I'll see what I can come up with. n/t
/
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torque Donating Member (167 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-15-05 05:03 PM
Response to Original message
24. both feet kickin for TIA! n/t
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DrDebug Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-16-05 08:21 AM
Response to Original message
25. Kick for TIA
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Coexist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-16-05 09:03 AM
Response to Original message
26. kick!
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BradBlog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-16-05 05:33 PM
Response to Original message
29. Thanks...and I'll get it to Lampley...
Thanks, as always, TruthIsAll, for your great work!

I'll try to make sure Lampley sees the post!

We had him on last Saturday Night's BRAD SHOW (www.BradShow.com) and will play part two of that interview on this week's show (technical difficulties ran us too short on time to play the second part! Don't ask!).

Brad
---
Brad Friedman
THE BRAD BLOG - The uprising continues...
http://www.BradBlog.com
VELVET REVOLUTION - The revolution begins...
http://www.VelvetRevolution.us

*** The BRAD SHOW On the Air via RAW RADIO!
*** http://www.BradShow.com
*** Now LIVE on Saturday Nights from 7p - 11p ET!
*** Broadcast coast-to-coast and around the globe
*** via the IBC Satellite Radio Network! Listen Online!
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-16-05 10:20 PM
Response to Reply #29
31. Thanks for everything you do.
Can we expect any other big names to join Lampley in the near-term?
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kster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-16-05 07:28 PM
Response to Original message
30. kick.nt
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autorank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-19-05 10:44 PM
Response to Original message
32. KICK...just cause I like it so much & for Jim Lampley
:kick:

Lampley knows how to call them!
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