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LET'S MOE DOWN THE LAST FEW NAYSAYERS ONCE AND FOR ALL

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-04-05 08:27 PM
Original message
LET'S MOE DOWN THE LAST FEW NAYSAYERS ONCE AND FOR ALL
Edited on Wed May-04-05 08:29 PM by TruthIsAll
There was one who posted on just this topic today.
As usual, all smoke, no facts.

I posted this table of state exit poll MOE's and deviations in February:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

This is the Mitofsky Margin of Error table. Look at the right side.
Read the 8000+ respondents column: MOE = 1%


WHAT ELSE DOES EDISON-MITOFSKY SAY ABOUT THE MOE FOR THE NATIONAL EXIT POLL? READ THE NOTES AT THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN:
"Sampling error for the OVERALL results is plus or minus one percentage point...."




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Starfury Donating Member (615 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-04-05 09:12 PM
Response to Original message
1. Gee, basic math skills show....
Kerry = (.54)(.54) + (.47)(.46) = .2916 + .2162 = .5078 = 51%
Bush = (.45)(.54) + (.52)(.46) = .2430 + .2392 = .4822 = 48%

That's the inconvenient thing about numbers, they just don't lie...
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-04-05 09:26 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Welcome, Starfury. We have plenty of exit poll numbers for you at DU.
.
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Starfury Donating Member (615 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-05-05 03:18 AM
Response to Reply #2
7. Thanks for all the welcomes, mucho appreciated!
And special thanks to TIA and everyone else for your tireless efforts on this subject. We may never be in a position of proving it in a court of law, but there's never been any doubts in my mind that the election results are fraudulant.
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autorank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-04-05 09:41 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. Welcome to DU Starfury!!! We'll categorize you as "reinforcements."
:hi:
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Botany Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-04-05 09:29 PM
Response to Original message
3. Bingo!
the #s do not lie.

I forced myself to read a paper from a political scientist from the University
of Michigan and all Dr. Tugg Nutz (close to his name) could come up w/
is that releasing the exit poll data early caused all the problems.

Honest, that is what his paper said. Early release of exit poll data is the
cause of the "problems" when you compare exit polls to vote #s.

Funny people voting = exit polls = vote #s
people stop voting = exit polls do not = vote #s

I watched the vote come in on secure lines late 11/2 early 11/3 and it did
not matter where the vote was coming from ..... nationwide ..... it was
running 70%+ for bush. Almost like somebody flipped a switch.

Thank you TIA ....
p.s. I saved this paper months ago.

btw Kerry won
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-04-05 09:37 PM
Response to Original message
4. State exit polls within .06% of the Nat Exit Poll (13047 respondents)
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kster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-04-05 10:03 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. Welcome starfury and ....kick....nt
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