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UPDATED: MY COLLECTION OF EXIT POLL THREADS

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-05 08:37 PM
Original message
UPDATED: MY COLLECTION OF EXIT POLL THREADS
Edited on Sat Mar-12-05 08:47 PM by TruthIsAll
THIS EXIT POLL SIMULATION TEST BLOWS AWAY THE NEDERLAND "PROOF"
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x342913

Nederland agrees: The Recorded votes and Final Exit poll are bogus.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=342689

A Mathematical proof: Exit polls are accurate
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=341540

The Nat Exit Poll Crime Line: 7:58pm(K) to 12:22am (K) to 2:04pm (B)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=340029

Check. Mate.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=339246

NATIONAL EXIT POLL: PRELIMINARY TO FINAL - WHAT HAPPENED?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=334949

I now fully accept that Bush won the election fair and square, because...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=334022

SO IT COMES TO THIS: DO YOU BELIEVE 13,047 OR 13,660?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=331601

WTF? 2004 NEP DEMOGRAPHIC WEIGHTS DON'T AGREE WITH THE ACTUAL VOTES
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=331097

ULTIMATE PROOF KERRY WON: COMPARE THE NATIONAL EXIT POLLS -1996,2000,2004
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=330906


THE 2000 NATIONAL EXIT POLL: ACCURATE TO WITHIN 0.5%
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=330828

1996 NATIONAL EXIT POLL: JUST LIKE IN 2000, RIGHT ON THE MONEY
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=330711

DO YOU BELIEVE ALL 37 OF THESE STATEMENTS? CLINTON DOES.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=327610

What is the probability that ALL 50 states would exceed the MOE for Bush?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=326459

BLOWN TO SMITHEREENS: MITOFSKY'S "RELUCTANT BUSH RESPONDER" THEORY
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=325206


ONE IN 257 TRILLION? The state exit poll MOE's were too conservative.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=326293

THE MOST DEVASTATING STATISTIC OF ALL: 17% OF THE VOTERS WERE NEW
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=323939

CHRISTOPHER HITCHENS, WELCOME ABOARD THE DU TRAIN...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=322332

100K+ FRIENDS OF BUSH: NY PA FL OH NC IL MA NJ; FRIEND OF KERRY: TX
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=320698

What goes up, must come down; Spinning wheel got to go round..
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=319513


The EAST was the BEAST: Time Zone Exit Poll Discrepancy Analysis
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=318693


Deviation Favor Bush? Yes. Deviation >MoE? Yes. State Flip to Bush? Yes.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=316275


Probability analysis of exit poll deviations using Freeman's data
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=314998

JOHN KERRY, ARE YOU MATH-CHALLENGED? HELP USCOUNTVOTES.ORG
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=310818

Math Guys: Are the ODDS 1 in a TRILLION or 1 in 10 MILLION?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=310199

Naysayers, its time to take your strawmen elsewhere.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=309316


THE BARE TRUTH WHICH SHOULD HAVE FLIPPED OUT THE DEMOCRATS BY NOW.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=309008

The Unmaking of the President: 2004
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=309604


NEP: WP 13,047 respondents (Kerry) > CNN 13,660 (Bush)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=301732


1/23 UPDATE: NATIONAL EXIT POLL DEMOGRAPHIC STATISTICS
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=301075

State Exit Poll/Vote Statistical Update
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=300746

GRAPH: Exit Poll Deviations Weighted by State Voting Method Mix
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=296774


It's Time to Cut to the Chase.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=292938

I learned something about exit polls today.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=288785

Bush probabilities for various Party-ID weights in the National Exit Poll
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=287175


GRAPH: Kerry State Exit Poll Deviations vs. Margin of Error
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=286975


Exit Poll Probability Analysis - state by state
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=285777


Fire up your Excel spreadsheets: The Election Fraud Probability Quiz
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=284981

National Election Poll: Analysis of Voter Demographics
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=273586

VERY STRANGE, VERY STRANGE....
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

MY TINFOIL HAT IS GETTING HEAVY: CNN 2000 Exit Poll Site is INCOMPLETE
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

THE SMOKING GRAPH: GORE (tight) VS. KERRY (wide) EXIT POLL DEVIATIONS
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

THE ODDS: TAKING THE EXIT POLL "CLUSTER" FACTOR INTO EFFECT
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

CONFIRMING DR. BAIMAN: THE NATIONAL EXIT POLL SAMPLE PROBABILITIES
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x197693

Baiman/Simon: Who won the popular vote ?
http://freepress.org/images/departments/PopularVotePaper181_1.pdf


National Exit Poll: Nov 3 12:23am; Odds: 1 out of 547 million.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=243100


NAYSAYERS, YOUR TURN: The Washington Post/National Election Pool Exit Poll
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=225649

SMOKING GUN? THE CNN NATIONAL EXIT POLL SITE PROVES THAT KERRY WON
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=214060

Regional Exit Analysis: How did Bush get 63.6% of the final 623 polled?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=222193

KERRY WON: No matter how you WEIGHT (RACE, GENDER, EDUCATION, AGE,INCOME)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=223114

KERRY'S WINNING WEIGHTS: PARTY ID, IDEOLOGY, RELIGION, MILITARY, ISSUES
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=224309

KERRY'S POPULAR VOTE BASED ON THE NATIONAL EXIT POLL
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=215526

THE STORY: FIRST 11,000, PRISTINE; FINAL 2000, CONTAMINATED
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=222660

CLUSTER AROUND, FOLKS. CHOOSE YOUR OWN MOE.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x196123

PROBABILITY TABLES: YOUR OWN EXIT POLL FRAUD DETECTION KIT
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x194260

CLUES? Exit Poll Deviations weighted by EV; Voting Machine Mix by state
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x175639

ODDS OF A FAIR VOTE IN COSHOCTON COUNTY, OH: 1 of 17,000
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x204366

CORRECTION: ODDS OF A FAIR VOTE IN COSHOCTON CTY
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x204708


PREDICTION: THIS WILL BECOME AN HISTORIC DOCUMENT
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x265121


THE NEW MATH: FAITH-BASED ARITHMETIC 101
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x269202

18 NATIONAL POLLSTERS AND MITOFSKY HAD IT EXACTLY RIGHT- KERRY GOT 51%
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x268692


Part IIIb. To believe Bush won the election, you must also believe...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x204891

SMOKING GUN? 2000 EXIT POLLS ACCURATE TO WITHIN 0.17%. STRAWMAN DOWN!
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x193044


WHY DO ALL THE ANOMALIES, IRREGULARITIES AND GLITCHES ALLWAYS FAVOR BUSH?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x205052


Kerry's lawyer was being truthful when he said no fraud. Right.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x200862

THE FACTS SO FAR
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x193928

WHY REPUBLICANS BELIEVE THERE WAS NO FRAUD: From A to Z
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x195918

15 QUESTIONS FOR THOSE WHO DISPARAGE EXIT POLLING
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=88478

TO THOSE TURNCOAT BLOGS WHO CALL US FRAUDISTS...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=237348

The Exit Poll Quiz
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=95374

Programming 101:
SUB SCAM A Tiny Visual Basic Program
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x179938

ELECTION MODEL ANALYSIS: SIMON DOWNLOAD OF STATE EXIT POLL DATA; KERRY 311 EV, 50.6% VOTE
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=1363177


Exit Polls MATCHED Pre-Election polls within 1/7th of ONE percent
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=1366062

Polling Margin of Error
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=1366744


THE NEW MEDIA: TRUTHSEEKERS IN THE BLOGOSPHERE

Despite what you may have heard, the exit polls were right...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=334091

My response to the latest Mystery Pollster (Jan. 8) blog
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=276319

EXIT POLLS: THE LATEST MYSTERY POLLSTER BLOG - AND MY COMMENTS
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=203&topic_id=178839&mesg_id=178839

DEJA VU: WAS IT ALL A DREAM? FLASHBACK TO NOV. 2
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x196749

FOOTPRINTS OF ELECTORAL FRAUD
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x196802

The SCOOP/Simon exit poll breakthrough - more true than ever.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x185007

WHY DID THE EXIT POLLS SAY KERRY GOT MORE VOTES? BECAUSE HE DID.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x195310

WHERE WOULD WE BE WITHOUT THE NET?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x188497



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MelissaB Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-05 08:40 PM
Response to Original message
1. Amazing! Thank you
for your tireless work!

:yourock:
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Donailin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-05 09:14 PM
Response to Reply #1
12. Seriously, TIA, you DO rock
You are a man with a mission, your discipline is remarkable and I for one salute you.
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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-05 08:46 PM
Response to Original message
2. Fantastic! Well Done :-)
:-)
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stpalm Donating Member (734 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-05 08:50 PM
Response to Original message
3. tag
I was told to read this but I don't think I can take all this right now. I will read it later.
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Webster Green Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-05 09:40 PM
Response to Original message
4. Bookmarked!
Thanx!:yourock:
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-05 09:56 PM
Response to Original message
5. FIXED THESE LINKS
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-05 02:38 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. Forgot: Graph of Preliminary Exit poll deviation trends since 1988
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-05 10:49 AM
Response to Reply #6
7. And this one from today...
IF THIS PRELIMINARY NEP WEIGHT WAS CORRECT, WHY WAS IT CHANGED?

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x343168
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WillYourVoteBCounted Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-05 11:51 AM
Response to Original message
8. Are exit polls conducted during early voting?
exit polling- is it done during the early voting period?


1/3 of all NC citizens cast their votes before Nov 2, that is over
1 million voters. Were they included in the exit polling?

I voted on Nov 2, by the way, and there was no exit poll where I voted.

My understanding is that democrats prefer to vote early
(I don't, though - I think it is nuts to allow your vote to go an extended time before it is counted)

Republicans prefer to vote absentee by mail or on election day.

This is what one election director of an NC county advised me.

Is this right?

How do exit polls work when 1/3 of a state votes early?



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dzika Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-05 04:11 PM
Response to Original message
9. Thank you!
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anaxarchos Donating Member (963 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-05 05:33 PM
Response to Original message
10. This proves it...

An average of more than 5 new threads per week since this compedium started, most of which have at least 1 or 2 new twists which add something to the discussion... it's obvious.

TIA is on a mission from God (the John Belushi kind; not the Falwell kind).

Cheers...
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kster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-05 06:21 PM
Response to Original message
11. Kick..........their.........*ss.........TIA................n/t
Edited on Sun Mar-13-05 06:22 PM by kster
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