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TIA Election Polling Analysis: Take a peek, Geek

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-15-04 11:38 AM
Original message
TIA Election Polling Analysis: Take a peek, Geek
Edited on Thu Jul-15-04 11:52 AM by TruthIsAll
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geek tragedy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-15-04 11:49 AM
Response to Original message
1. The only thing better than crunching numbers is
crunching Republicans. :headbang: :yourock:
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-15-04 12:50 PM
Response to Original message
2. These Polls All Assume Nader Goes Away
Nader isn't going away, he's sucking down 3-6% of the vote,
nearly all of it from Kerry.
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porphyrian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-15-04 12:52 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Stop Worrying So Much About Nader
He's not a threat to anything in this election except certain peoples' egos. This is going to be a sweep, as long as all the votes are counted correctly.
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mermaid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-15-04 12:56 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. I Wish I Could Believe That
Fact is, Nader The Traitor has me scared silly! I'm deathly afraid that bastard is gonna cost us another election!!

There was a time, once, long ago...I had respect for Ralph Nader. Now I can only despise him!

He is Nader The Traitor in my book now, and I hope the nickname catches on and stixks to him. He's a true bastard if he won't get outta the damn race!
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-16-04 11:10 AM
Response to Reply #3
8. Getting the Votes Counted Correctly *IS* The Problem!
Edited on Fri Jul-16-04 11:11 AM by AndyTiedye
Nader still makes it close enough to steal, and makes that theft
a lot easier, because they can then divert votes from Kerry to Nader
in lefty areas where a high vote for Bush* would be suspicious.
There don't have to be any actual Nader voters for this, just a
line on the ballot.

To make matters worse, Nader still polls 3-7%, cutting Kerry's
margin in half in every state where he leads, and keeping him
within the MOE.

It isn't that Nader will cause Bush* to win the election --
he didn't win the last one -- Our concern is that he will make
the theft of this election possible, just as he did in 2000.

I'll stop worrying about Nader when Kerry is up 20 points in the polls.
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TrogL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-15-04 12:55 PM
Response to Original message
4. Note: FOX,CNN/Gallup. AP polls are not included,
Why not?

Isn't leaving them out biased?
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-15-04 02:42 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. No, I leave them out because they are BIASED for Bush.
Why include them if they skew the averages against Kerry?

These organizations are notoriously pro Bush. They constantly prop him up and thrash the Democrat, whether it was Gore in 2000 or Kerry today.

Taking them out of the averages can only improve the forecast.
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mrboba1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-15-04 02:46 PM
Response to Original message
7. God !
I love your forecasts!!!
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