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Reply #163: There's has been net emigration back to Mexico in the last 2 yrs, at least among [View All]

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leveymg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-19-11 04:38 PM
Response to Reply #151
163. There's has been net emigration back to Mexico in the last 2 yrs, at least among
Edited on Tue Jul-19-11 04:42 PM by leveymg
the undocumented in recent studies I've seen. Started in early 2008 as the housing construction bubble burst.

I wouldn't count on the border getting any less militarized or the legal immigration system being liberalized, any time soon.

Drug money and wars have definitely diverted the attention of the young away from their elder's role model and goals of a Fidel/Che model of revolution in Mexico, but that could change almost overnight by legalization in the US, I believe (the foreign counter-insurgency impact of the War on Drugs may be a major reason we see so little progress toward legalization here). The Bolivarian revolution seems to have taken root practically everywhere that the drug lords don't control the population through terror.

I agree that the Sunni Fundamentalists may have shot their wads, and that Jihad has lost appeal, except in areas such as Pakistan and Afghanistan where we create new cadres by excessive use of force. Iraq will be a very interesting test to see just how strong the desire for revenge actually is, and whether Iran will manage to exploit the Shi'ia revival.

Israel seems to be headed deeper into its own crisis of de-democratization and toward some sort of horrendous, bloody ethnic cleansing and unraveling of the pretense of a functional democracy. The Saudi Royals have bought domestic peace, but whether that lasts or someone finally manages to pluck The Prize is mostly a question of who and when in my estimation.
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