Serious Question: What are the chances Obama will choose to not seek re-election?

[democrat2thecore]

50/50? 25%? 1%? 0%? 75%? 95%?

I'm beginning to think that President Obama will not have the numbers to seek re-election even if he wanted to. I've thought this for awhile, but am beginning to truly believe the writing is on the wall. Maybe it's a perception from my thinking - but I just don't see the fight in his eyes.

The compromises on issue after issue has created a situation where trying to please everyone has created a situation where he's alienated too many.

He's in a lose-lose situation going into and coming out of the midterms. He will be blamed for the losses (and I am expecting large losses in the House). Few incumbents want him at their side. And the fact is, the day after midterms, the race for '12 is on. A primary challenge is pretty much written off because he'll have 90%+ of the black vote.

But the general is a different story and Barack Obama knows this.

What are the chances of Obama pulling an LBJ and simply bowing out? Democrats rally around another candidate or engage in another free-for-all like 2008 and we're off.

This is not a flamebait post. This is serious stuff. If anyone thinks it's not a possibility, they haven't studied history.