Reply #87: Coakley by 2

[Awsi Dooger]

I generally like early favoritism to hold up in a D vs. R race. If this were a primary, I'd believe the late poll shift would push Brown over the top.

But I've paid such little attention to this race I'm not confident of anything, other than a shifting situational influence puts races like this in play, and that will continue to be felt. We didn't invent or discover anything in 2006 and 2008. I emphasized that repeatedly. We allowed a trailing gust to take our best shots 30-50 yards beyond their typical resting point.