Reply #112: I agree, impossible for him to win at BJ as described

[rufus dog]

To win 2k per day on $250 bets he would need to walk in and win 4 consecutive hands each day (.0625) twenty consecutive times per month. Winning two days in a row using that system is less than a 1% chance. Doing it 20 days in a row is infinitesimal. Walking away after losing actual is worse, that eliminates the knowledge gained by the first hand.

Billy you need to check on him, because the money can't be coming in as described.


I once had a friend win over 120 k in a weekend on blackjack, two separate runs of 75k and 45k. On the 75k run he thinks he won or pushed on about 15 hands. So in effect, pure luck by letting the money continue to ride. We went to the casino the following weekend and made it three steps into Caesars Palace in LV before security was on us. Not to ban him, but to see if he wanted anything and get him back to the tables immediately. He lost 20k back in less than 30 minutes, and lost all of the money back in under 45 days. As stated numerous times above the only way to "even" the odds with the house is to card count and increase bets at certain times/situations.

If you son did win a two grand a day over a couple of weeks, they would know him. They would look at his betting patters and if it was luck they would sit his ass down an have him keep playing because the odds are in favor of the house. If he was counting they would throw his ass out.