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Reply #7: maybe this will cheer you up?? [View All]

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dana_b Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-20-08 01:59 PM
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7. maybe this will cheer you up??
I know we shouldn't even look at the polls yet, but as of September 16th:
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
RCP Average 09/08 - 09/16 -- 49.3 45.0 Obama +4.3
SurveyUSA 09/14 - 09/16 671 LV 52 44 Obama +8
National Journal/FD 09/11 - 09/15 400 RV 49 42 Obama +7
Rasmussen 09/08 - 09/08 700 LV 47 49 McCain +2

It's going to come down to the Latino voters and they are going for Obama!! /
Obama in New Mexico: No Latino voter left behind
In the most closely contested state in the nation, it will all come down to who is better organized -- and whether Obama can get Hispanic voters to the polls.

By Mike Madden

S S S RSS Print Email
Read more: Politics, Bill Richardson, News, Latinos, New Mexico, Barack Obama, 2008 election, Mike Madden

AP Photo/Chris Carlson

Sen. Barack Obama waves to supporters after a rally in Espaola, N.M., Sept. 18, 2008.

Sept. 19, 2008 | ESPANOLA, N.M. -- For a few hours Thursday, Barack Obama doubled the size of this town. About 9,500 people live here, in the heart of Hispanic northern New Mexico; around midday, about 9,500 people were crammed into a historic plaza near the Rio Grande for a rally, according to campaign aides and local officials. And if Obama's strategy to win the White House through the West is going to work, his supporters are going to have to get used to pulling off that kind of turnout. It looks like New Mexico -- and its five electoral votes -- are going to go to whichever side does a better job organizing.

No state has seen presidential elections as consistently close as New Mexico the past two cycles -- Al Gore won it by 366 votes in 2000, and George W. Bush took it back by 5,988 votes four years later, the margin still less than 1 percent of the total vote. Now Obama leads John McCain in most recent polls by a few points, but Democrats and Republicans alike say they think the final margin could be as tight as it has been in the past. Both campaigns are advertising heavily here; the Wisconsin Advertising Project estimated McCain spent $214,000 on TV in New Mexico the week after his convention, Sept. 6 to 13, while Obama spent $155,000 in the same time period. But with fewer than 3 million residents, grass-roots organizing might make more of a difference.

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