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Reply #169: Selection bias [View All]

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geekdem Donating Member (4 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-26-08 05:54 PM
Response to Reply #135
169. Selection bias
I think there is selection bias involved in what you are saying. Basically you're saying that serial offenders are smarter than the average criminal. Well, of course they are, they are the ones who've evaded capture several times. The dumb ones get rounded up before they become "serial" offenders. I don't think sociopaths are especially bright, there are simply a few brilliant ones who stick out in your mind because they managed to get away with it for so long.

I think the point stands however that the vast majority of offenders are not the type to think through the penalties and make a cold, logical decision.

Of course that's just as good an argument against the death penalty. It can't be a deterrent if the vast majority of offenders don't think through the penalties.
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