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Reply #42: That's was Republican Catholics...not Dems! [View All]

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Breeze54 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-20-08 04:55 PM
Response to Reply #35
42. That's was Republican Catholics...not Dems!
Edited on Sun Apr-20-08 04:56 PM by Breeze54
Can Kerry Carry The Catholic Vote?

Despite Woes With Church Leaders, He May Win Rank-And-File


Kerrys experience shows he knows how to win the Catholic vote. In his 1996 re-election to the Senate, Kerry faced a difficult challenge from Massachusetts sitting governor, William Weld, and many pundits predicted a Kerry defeat.

In the end, Kerry walked away with a seven-point victory, due at least in part to his support among Catholics. According to a CBS News exit poll in that election, Catholics made up 50 percent of Massachusetts voters, and they voted 53 percent to 43 percent for Kerry.

In the presidential primary elections this year, Kerry showed a similar ability to attract Catholic votes, at least among Democrats. For example, in the nine Super Tuesday states that voted on March 2, Kerry won 62 percent of the Catholic vote, according to CBS News exit polls, running 10 points better among Catholics than he did among all voters.

His performance among Catholic voters in earlier primary contests was similarly strong.

Looking forward to the general election, Catholic voters seem open to a challenge to President Bush. According to a CBS News/New York Times Poll in late April, only 40 percent of Catholic registered voters said they approve of the job Mr. Bush is doing as president, while over half reported disapproval. In contrast, 47 percent of all registered voters approve of Mr. Bushs performance, as do 53 percent of Protestant voters.

Catholics seems specifically dissatisfied with Mr. Bush on the elections two most important issues the economy and the war in Iraq. Only 34 percent of Catholic voters in the April survey said they approve of the way Mr. Bush is handling the situation in Iraq, compared to 41 percent of all voters. In addition, 58 percent of Catholic voters feel the war in Iraq was a mistake, while only 48 percent of all voters feel that way.

On the economy, only 38 percent of Catholic voters said they approve of the way Mr. Bush is currently handling it, compared to 45 percent of Protestant voters and 40 percent of all registered voters. And Catholic voters are not much more optimistic about the future of the economy under Mr. Bush only 22 percent feel the economy will improve if Mr. Bush is re-elected.

Whether Kerry can capitalize on Catholic voters dissatisfaction with Mr. Bush remains to be seen. One looming question is Kerrys relationship with the Catholic Church itself. Kerry has taken criticism lately from members of the Church hierarchy for political positions that run counter to the Churchs, most prominently his support of abortion rights.

His problems with the Church may not affect his potential with its voters, however, as these voters themselves take positions antithetical to Catholic doctrine.

According to CBS News exit polls, in the 2000 presidential election 55 percent of Catholic voters voiced support for abortion remaining either mostly or entirely legal a number virtually identical to that of voters at large.

Even on the years hot moral wedge issue gay marriage Catholics do not appear automatically predisposed to the Churchs position. According to a CBS News/New York Times poll in March, Catholics are actually more supportive of gay marriage or civil unions than are most Americans 64 percent of Catholics said they support either gay marriage or civil unions, compared to 54 percent of all Americans.

It seems that Catholics are in play in this election, as in past elections. Among registered voters in the most recent CBS News/New York Times poll, Catholics were leaning in favor of Kerry, choosing him over Mr. Bush by 46 percent to 40 percent, when asked whom they would support if the election were held at this early stage.



The '04 election was stolen.

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