Reply #103: That was my point

[davekriss]

You make my case, thank you.

Let me put it another way: Exit polling, which prior to 2000 has accurately tracked the actual vote within MOE, has suddenly been rendered an unreliable tool because it now overstates the Democratic vote. Further, Exit Polling has tracked closely to general polling in the runups to election day. "Overstating the Democratic Vote" can mean one of two things: (1) the pollsters inexplicably forgot how to do their job -- this same job touted by the USG to claim election results invalid in other nations --, or (2) Democratic votes are stolen at the polls making it appear, since 2000, that exit polling is inflated toward the Democrats and therefore unreliable.

Did you ever think that what is unreliable is the vote counting on election day?

Almost all anamolies these past elections, 2000-2002(Georgia)-2004-2006, fall in favor of the Republicans. They gain by the unfortunate blip and snafu. Again, like rolling 5 hard-eights in a row in craps or 11 red numbers in a row in roulette. While certainly possible, not very likely.

What Rove failed to calculate was the ferocity of the anti-Bush vote. Even after slicing off in aggregate 5% to 8% of the Democratic vote they still lost the Senate and the House. Don't think they'll make the same error in 2008 (if there is an election then! -- Bush said recently that it's a wonderful thing that we can hold an election when the nation is at war, meaning in his head he thinks the opposite is possible, albeit less "wonderful").