Reply #9: A new poll gives McCaskill a nine-point lead in MO, but I think that

[WI_DEM]

is too optimistic. Still I think she is pulling ahead. Right now I think we will win:
Pennsylvania
Montana
Tennessee (Ford has really come on strong)
Rhode Island (I think a new Ras poll has Whitehouse expanding his lead)
Ohio (I think the state GOP is in such disaray that the Dems will take this seat)
Missouri

That is a pick up of six seats, so we will be at 50 (I think we'll take NJ in the end, seems Martinez is starting to gain some ground), and with Sanders in VT voting with us we will have 51. However, with 51 and the strong liklihood that Lieberman will win in CT meaning that he will use blackmail to get his way. If we can get one more seat--we could tell him to go to hell with his threats. I used to be encouraged about Virginia but if even after Macaca and other allegations of racism, Allen still retains a 5-8 point lead!