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Reply #8: there is 0 chance for the Arab League to start a war now. [View All]

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tocqueville Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-09-06 08:00 AM
Response to Original message
8. there is 0 chance for the Arab League to start a war now.
Edited on Wed Aug-09-06 08:02 AM by tocqueville
#1 the Israeli have nukes, the others haven't
#2 the Arab League is so tied to the West economically that for some (Egypt is the best example) their economies would immediately collapse, which means the street taking over and Islamists taking over. Egyptian and Jordanian
leaders want to keep their little privileges. The others want to sell oil and buy luxury products for the money.
#3 internal religious and cultural oppositions between Shiites/Sunnis make agreements very difficult. Many Arab countries with a Sunni majority see with horror the raise of Shiite powers like the Hezbollah and probably Iraq tomorrow

but a lot of wars through proxy can blow up like in Syria, Iran and Iraq can collapse. Severe unrest in Egypt, Jordan and even some Gulf States is possible with the rise of fundamentalistic regimes as a serious possibility.
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