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Reply #13: I don't agree - I think these polls are very consistent with Kerry's [View All]

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Time for change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-02-06 08:30 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. I don't agree - I think these polls are very consistent with Kerry's

First, note that 87% of Iraqis endorse a timeline for pulling out -- which is at the heart of Kerry's approach.

Secondly, it is somewhat difficult to know what the respondents had in mind when they answered this poll, since the choices are not necessarily mutually exclusive, but I would certainly argue that the 16% who said that we should pull out "when Iraqi security forces are ready" have in mind a withdrawal in the very near future -- when you consider that response in the context of the whole series of polls. For example, only 1% feel that the US is as or better able to provide for their security as indigenous Iraqi institutions - primarily the Iraqi Army or Iraqi National Guard. And only 1% feel that US security has been responsible for any improvement so far. And another portion of the poll (not specified in the OP) showed that the good majority of Iraqis feel that their Army or Nation

So what we have left is 31% whose answer to the particular question that you cite ("when security is restored") perhaps indicated some ambivalence about a US withdrawal. But we don't know what that answer really means. And considering all of the other responses, it is unlikely that those who responded in this manner wish for the US to stay for any significant amount of time (and one must also consider the possibility that some answers were designed to avoid antagonizing our country).

And one last thing about that particular answer is that it was part of the Time/ABC News poll, which of all the polls seems to be the one that is most slanted towards painting a rosy picture (Not surprising, considering their conservative bias). But even that poll indicates that 64% of Iraqis oppose or strongly oppose the coalition forces in Iraq.

And no, I couldn't find a more recent poll -- The Brooking Institutes' "Iraq Index" was updated as of late June of this year.

Anyhow, the opinions of the Iraqis toward the US occupation show no evidence of improvement over time. And my main point is that their opinions should be taken into account when devising our plans -- especially for those who claim that a major reason for staying is to honor our commitment to the Iraqis.
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