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Reply #102: impressive looking post [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU
m berst Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-28-04 10:01 AM
Response to Reply #51
102. impressive looking post
And most people will probably be somewhat intimidated by it.

As I understand it, the exit poll variance from actual results is highly selective, so speculation on the relative accuracy of exit polls in general, or the exit polls in this particular election are not relevant that I can see.

Looking at 40 years worth of exit polls, why did they fail so dramatically only and always where and when they needed to for a particular outcome to occur?

To demonstrate your point, would one not have to account for the relative accuracy of the exit polls within this election from district to district? Why did they fail in the swing states, and yet perform per expectation elsewhere, and as far as that goes, else when?

Thanks for the warning to not believe everything we see, and for the advice to think about framing issues.
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