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Reply #95: Thanks for your post. A couple of questions. [View All]

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spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-28-04 09:04 AM
Response to Reply #51
95. Thanks for your post. A couple of questions.
Edited on Sun Nov-28-04 09:12 AM by spooky3
1) why not do the adjustments you recommend and post them here? yes, it would require more time from you, but if the MOE is corrected and found to be MUCH smaller, don't you think it would make your argument more compelling (more compelling than simply more posts)? On the other hand, wouldn't it be informative if the corrected MOE is not much larger than TIA's estimate?

2) do you have any empirical evidence that Republicans really are less likely to respond to exit pollsters than are Democrats? Even if they are, that seems to be something that could be estimated and corrected as well, by weighting the resulting samples.

In other words, rather than have the two positions seem extremely different and black-and-white (exit polls are worthless vs. exit polls are absolutely accurate), why not resolve some of the differences between TIA's and your positions by doing a little more work and then people can judge the situation more easily?
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