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LilKim Donating Member (355 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-28-04 12:12 AM
Response to Reply #81
86. Thanks for the link which
in turn had this link which said, in part:

First we found Simon Jackman, who urged us to stay off the street mob idea.

Jackman is president of the Society for Political Methodology, as well as director of graduate studies for the political science and statistics departments at Stanford University. He contends that Freemans math is fine, but that his analysis may be based on a faulty premise. Freemans numbers only hold value if the exit polls are accurate, and Jackman says there is reason to suspect that the polls are significantly flawed.

At this stage, we have a puzzling discrepancy but, alas, more than one plausible hypothesis. We need more data and analysis to sort out the possible explanations, and that will take time. But almost every serious scholar and political operative I have spoken to on this issue believes that well discover problems with exit polls, not large and widespread electoral fraud.

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