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Reply #47: that pesky assumption [View All]

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thereismore Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-26-04 11:58 PM
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47. that pesky assumption
Fellow bloggers, this is my first post, but there is a first time for everything, right?

I,too, believe the election in selected states was stolen.
However, the above estimate of probability hangs on a pesky little assumption, which is that the exit polls were a representative sample of the vote population. There is a number of reasons why it might not have been, such as Bush voters declining to answer who they voted for. Even if the sampling were done right, the polling ended at 4 PM, which means that they did not sample homogeneously all voters. I am sorry but in light of these things the numerical estimate (1 in 4,5 billion) is meaningless.

Our hope for redress rests squarely on the GAO investigation of specific instances of voter suppression and on the Ohio recount.
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