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This analysis and others prove beyond a shadow of a doubt that random error (chance) could not account for the discrepancy (between exit polls and official election results).
However, I believe that it is important that we not summarily dismiss the possibility of exit poll bias (I'm not talking about purposeful falsification of the exit polls, but rather a bias that for some unknown reason, other than chance, worked in Kerry's favor in the good majority of the states.)
I believe that a fraudulent election is more likely the case, perhaps much more likely -- (see Dr. Freeman's excellent discussion of the accuracy of exit polls). However, we cannot and should not summarily rule out biased exit polls as a possibility, because when we do that we lose our credibility.
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