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THE RED SHIFT TO BUSH: YOU HAVE NEVER SEEN IT LIKE THIS... [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 04:52 PM
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THE RED SHIFT TO BUSH: YOU HAVE NEVER SEEN IT LIKE THIS...
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This is the Red-shift to Bush, sorted in order of the most
dramatic declines in Kerry's exit poll numbers to the final
vote.

SIXTEEN states deviated to Bush beyond the CONSERVATIVE 3%
MOE. It's really much worse than this, because the MOE for
exit polls is closer to ONE percent than it is to THREE.

Along with the deviations consider the corresponding
probabilities of the shift. 

For example, the probability that DE would shift 4.89% from
the exit polls to Bush (or 1.96% beyond the MOE) is 0.10%

The probability that FL would shift 3.03% from the exit polls
to Bush is 2.40%

16 states moved beyond the MOE to Bush.

None to Kerry.

Think about that.


........Kerry							
St	Exit	Vote	Diff	Prob	>MOE?	by	Favor
DE	58.5	53.54	-4.96	0.10%	Yes	1.96	Bush
NH	55.4	50.51	-4.89	0.10%	Yes	1.89	Bush
VT	65	60.2	-4.8	0.10%	Yes	1.8	Bush
SC	46	41.41	-4.59	0.10%	Yes	1.59	Bush
NE	36.75	32.32	-4.43	0.20%	Yes	1.43	Bush

AK	40.5	36.08	-4.42	0.20%	Yes	1.42	Bush
AL	41	37	-4	0.40%	Yes	1	Bush
NC	48	44	-4	0.40%	Yes	1	Bush
NY	63	59.18	-3.82	0.60%	Yes	0.82	Bush
CT	58.5	55.1	-3.4	1.30%	Yes	0.4	Bush

RI	64	60.61	-3.39	1.30%	Yes	0.39	Bush
MA	66	62.63	-3.37	1.40%	Yes	0.37	Bush
PA	54.35	51	-3.35	1.40%	Yes	0.35	Bush
MS	43.25	40	-3.25	1.70%	Yes	0.25	Bush
OH	52.1	49	-3.1	2.10%	Yes	0.1	Bush

FL	50.5	47.47	-3.03	2.40%	Yes	0.03	Bush
MN	54.5	51.52	-2.98	2.60%		-0.02	Bush
UT	30.5	27.55	-2.95	2.70%		-0.05	Bush
ID	33.5	30.61	-2.89	3.00%		-0.11	Bush
AZ	47	44.44	-2.56	4.70%		-0.44	Bush

LA	44.5	42.42	-2.08	8.80%		-0.92	Bush
IL	57	55	-2	9.60%		-1	Bush
WI	52.5	50.51	-1.99	9.60%		-1.01	Bush
WV	45.25	43.43	-1.82	11.80%		-1.18	Bush
NM	51.3	49.49	-1.81	11.90%		-1.19	Bush

CO	49.1	47.47	-1.63	14.40%		-1.37	Bush
IN	41	39.39	-1.61	14.70%		-1.39	Bush
GA	43	41.41	-1.59	15.00%		-1.41	Bush
MO	47.5	46	-1.5	16.40%		-1.5	Bush
NJ	55	53.54	-1.46	16.90%		-1.54	Bush

WA	54.95	53.54	-1.41	17.80%		-1.59	Bush
WY	30.9	29.59	-1.31	19.60%		-1.69	Bush
IA	50.65	49.49	-1.16	22.50%		-1.84	Bush
AR	46.6	45.45	-1.15	22.70%		-1.85	Bush
KY	41	40	-1	25.70%		-2	Bush

OK	35	34	-1	25.70%		-2	Bush
MI	52.5	51.52	-0.98	26.00%		-2.02	Bush
NV	49.35	48.48	-0.87	28.60%		-2.13	Bush
ME	54.75	54.08	-0.67	33.10%		-2.33	Bush
MD	57	56.57	-0.43	38.80%		-2.57	Bush

DC	91	90.91	-0.09	47.60%		-2.91	Bush
MT	39.75	39.8	0.05	51.20%		-2.95	Kerry
VA	45.2	45.45	0.25	56.60%		-2.75	Kerry
OR	51.2	52	0.8	69.90%		-2.2	Kerry
HI	53.3	54.55	1.25	79.20%		-1.75	Kerry

TX	37	38.38	1.38	81.70%		-1.62	Kerry
TN	41.5	43	1.5	83.60%		-1.5	Kerry
CA	54	55.56	1.56	84.50%		-1.44	Kerry
SD	37.75	39.39	1.64	85.90%		-1.36	Kerry
ND	34	36.36	2.36	93.90%		-0.64	Kerry

KS	35	37.37	2.37	94.00%		-0.63	Kerry

What kind of peace do I mean? What kind of peace do we seek?
Not a Pax Americana 
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