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Reply #53: The bulk of his stuff is based off exit polling data. [View All]

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Ellipsis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-30-11 03:25 PM
Response to Reply #52
53. The bulk of his stuff is based off exit polling data.
Edited on Sat Apr-30-11 03:28 PM by Ellipsis
It may indicate something but you just can prove it through with statistics. It's not physical evidence.

The guys here on ER have been going back and forth on this particular topic for at least six years. TIA is a statistician and a good one (of course a few cats here may debate that). He has been dedicated to prove his theory for a long time. He's published a book on it. He's suffered through, I want to say a heart attack and bounced back from it and his tenacity strikes me as what pulled him through. He used to post here as TIA, until he got harassed by a few "characters" here, he fought back till he got tombstoned. Emotions run high sometimes, as you well know.

Personally I'm more of a Richard Hayes Phillips kind a guy. He uses statistics as well but does a more boots on the ground physical analysis. He's published as well and has been used in court as an expert before, specifically in Ohio in 2004. Dry reading all the way around and TIA's stuff is hard to focus on, his formatting drives me crazy. It's difficult to look at his numbers. I have done so till my eyes bled.

My understanding is Brad Friedman has done some interfacing with the Kloppenburg campaign, but Phillips would be my choice to investigate if something came up, and as of yet nothing has.
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