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Reply #18: actually, think about this some more [View All]

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OnTheOtherHand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-21-10 08:53 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. actually, think about this some more
If you randomly chose 10 precincts, then you basically have a sample size of 10. (I could throw in some highfalutin statistical terminology, if that helps.) If any miscounts are more or less evenly distributed, that might suffice. Otherwise, a bunch of precincts could be quite messed up, and a sample of 10 could easily miss them all.

This isn't to say that the 3% audit "has no validity," just that it can't really provide "extremely strong evidence" supporting the apparent outcome in such a close election. The count may well have been very accurate, but a sample that small can't prove it.
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