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SC Index Poll on May 18 indicated Demint @ 50% to Rawls 43% w MoE 4.6% [View All]

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mod mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-12-10 07:50 AM
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SC Index Poll on May 18 indicated Demint @ 50% to Rawls 43% w MoE 4.6%
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Edited on Sat Jun-12-10 07:52 AM by mod mom
Monday, May 24, 2010
New Poll Results for SC

The results of this months SCIndex survey show how the slippery dynamics of this years election cycle is likely to make the 2010 general election very competitive. Our survey of 438* active voters likely to vote in the November general election shows that both the gubernatorial and US Senate races may offer some interesting twists this year.

Throughout the country voters have been turning away from incumbents in order to register their dissatisfaction with a perceived politics as usual approach to government. If dissatisfaction with those in power becomes a major theme in South Carolina then Republican incumbents may find voters very unfriendly in November. Republican dominance at the statehouse places the GOP in firm control during a period of time that has seen double digit unemployment and countless scandals. And the states junior US Senator, Republican Jim DeMint, may have to defend his job performance in light of the state and nations significant economic problems.

According to our May 18th telephone survey DeMints job approval and re-elect numbers are well below the marks of a strong incumbent. Only 53% of all voters currently approve of his job performance while only 48% of all voters are likely to support his re-election. In a head to head question with Democratic challenger Vic Rawl, DeMint gets 50% of the vote to Rawls 43%. It is important to note that Rawl has never run for statewide office and has not aired any TV ads during this primary season.

DeMints tepid showing in the early horse race numbers may also indicate that other statewide races will be equally competitive. When asked in the May survey if they would most likely vote for a Democrat or a Republican candidate for governor this November, voters split 46% for the Republican and 44% for the Democrat.

Although the fall elections are a long way off South Carolina may not be an easy slam dunk for the GOP at any ballot position in 2010. Like most election years the battle ground between Republican and Democrats in SC is a small number of independent voters scattered across the states major media markets. In the past Democrats have not done a good job fielding campaigns that spoke to the concerns of these voters. In an election year where there is a detectable mood for throwing the rascals out Republican candidates may end up playing more defense than offense in 2010. If the Democrats can find the resources and the primaries produce quality candidates the approaching general elections might offer some surprises.

* margin of error plus or minus 4.6%

Hmmh...sounds like the GOP got nervous about their chances of winning and then, of course there the issue of the voting machines:

S.C. to use voting machines banned in other states
Associated Press
Monday, January 7, 2008

GREENVILLE South Carolina election officials say they still plan to use touch-screen voting machines despite the fact that other states have banned the use of similar systems made by the same company.

Last month, top election officials in Ohio and Colorado declared that Election Systems and Software's iVotronic is unfit for elections.

The ban was prompted by a study done for the state of Ohio in which researchers found electronic voting systems could be corrupted with magnets or handheld electronic devices such as Palm Treos.


"It's very difficult to get evidence that somebody tampered with the vote if you have no way of knowing what the vote was before they tampered," said Eleanor Hare, a computer scientist who participated in a study of the machines by the South Carolina League of Women Voters.

-snip /

x-posted in GD but added AP article. :hi:
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