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Reply #10: "proper" analysis? [View All]

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OnTheOtherHand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-31-09 07:34 AM
Response to Reply #9
10. "proper" analysis?
So now it is your position that the analysis in The American Statistician was improper, and we really can't learn much about FL 13 unless we do non-parametric regression on the (essentially non-existent) exit poll data? Or are you perhaps moving the goalposts?

Pardon my indignation, but in the real world, we've learned a lot about the counting and miscounting of votes by analyzing -- yes -- vote counts. Your obsession with the much sparser exit poll data is difficult for me to understand.

In another case in Sarasota, machines that were used in early voting behaved statistically differently when the exact same machines were used in the same district for a regular election (undervotes, etc.). There is NO explanation for that other than a programming change!

That's quite possibly true, and also doesn't require access to (nonexistent) exit poll data -- although in order to know whether there really is no other explanation, I would need more specifics.
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