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Reply #6: Given all the "new" revelations that DRE's & tabulators steal and drop votes... [View All]

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Sancho Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-31-09 06:30 AM
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6. Given all the "new" revelations that DRE's & tabulators steal and drop votes...
TIA's observations now have a viable explanation of HOW the elections were stolen. With computer programmers dying in mysterious plane crashes, even those who don't support conspiracy theories have to at least wonder about the weird coincidence. What's more, there were many "local" races here in Florida like Betty Castor's loss to Martinez and Jenning's loss to Buchanan where there was NO WAY that the vote count made sense. We should have more Democratic Senators and Representatives today than are actually sitting. For a fun read, see the American Statistical Association's "Chance Magazine" article:

Florida 2006: Can Statistics Tell Us Who Won Congressional District-13?

"The study by Frisina uses two methods to analyze the CD-13 undervote....Both show that Jennings was almost certainly the preferred choice among the majority of CD-13 voters."

Once I realized that undervotes and/or switched votes on SOME but NOT ALL machines and tabulators were determining elections, I tried to pretend to be a hacker and think of formulas that would be useful to steal the election. There's no way to know exactly, but my guess is that a hacker equation used simple data on the number of registrations by party as an input variable and targeted certain precincts. The program would likely switch or drop a preset randomly chosen number of votes. Depending on the available voting systems, some races were altered by dropping or switching votes on a minority of machines (not all) in some precincts (not all) with a parameter that the number of changes would not exceed a preset standard error. This resulted in difficulty identifying cheating since precinct-level data (including polls) is rarely or never available. When the registration data was inaccurate or the SE limit was reached or the turnout was different than expected; the GOP lost anyway as the number of "changes" was insufficient. In most cases in FL, my guess is that GOP election supervisors allowed DRE and tabulator access to the machines so that hacking was an easy act since the culprits were often election staff or employees of the DRE manufacturer. There was also a concerted effort to limit the overall valid vote by turning away selected voters in some precincts through ID and registration gimmicks when the excessive turnout was predicted to overwhelm the hacking equation.

The main evidence here are discrepancies in a given precinct. For example, a precinct might elect a Democratic state representative, pass a tax referendum in favor of a school tax, and then elect a GOP Senator?!? Combined with reports of vote switching machines (I personally witnessed one switching DRE during the 2004 election) and strange undervotes on some machines in some precincts - it was logical that the process was hacked. Unfortunately, there is insufficient precinct level poll or voting information to have statistical confidence of a hack - which was intent of the programing originally and likely explains the WPE that is weird and has no explanation (reluctant respondents just doesn't cut it for me).

Thanks for continuing the fight TIA! Poll data should be transparent! Parallel election polls should target random or suspicious precincts!
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