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Reply #30: You did misunderstand. [View All]

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read the law first Donating Member (398 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-04-08 11:13 PM
Response to Reply #23
30. You did misunderstand.
The final poll that I saw on the day before the election showed Martin behind by three with a four point margin of error. So, that could mean that Martin was as far behind as 7 points or ahead by 1 point.

However, the margin of victory was between 15 and 16 points. So that is as few as an eight point swing or as many as a 17 point swing between the final poll numbers and the final result. I don't know of any exit polling.

On this site, we've always been suspicious that Chambliss swung from 6 behind to 6 ahead in the Cleland race (a twelve point swing between the day before the election and election day). But now we have an 8 to 17 point swing from the day before the election to election day. So, maybe (i) pollsters don't understand Georgians (who could?) in either 2002 or 2008, (ii) or the 12 point swing on the Cleland race in 2002 might not be out of the ordinary for Georgia, or (iii) the Repugs stole this election too when they didn't have to.
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