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mod mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-20-08 04:59 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. Thanks.
I attended a machine allocation hearing recently for Franklin Co OH. In this hearing, Matt Damschroeder commented that newly registered voters have a turnout rate of ~ 72%, which of course is higher than average for turnouts of the entire registered population. In Ohio, Obama has had a strong effort to register new voters which was kicked off in May and many of the newly registered voters, are young people Isn't it correct that since they are newly registered, they will be left out of "likely voters"? I am wondering if they utilize some sort of factor, such as the 72% offered by Damschroeder, to estimate the effect of this new voter population when polling.

I guess what I am asking is, do you think the polls are reflective of these newly registered voters (assuming ~ 72% of these newly registered young people actually show up to vote) ?
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