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Reply #25: exit poll true believers tend to do what they want... [View All]

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OnTheOtherHand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-02-08 05:37 PM
Response to Reply #23
25. exit poll true believers tend to do what they want...
I'd say they generally use the total presidential vote (no undervotes) to figure the official percentages. But to figure the exit poll results, some use screen shots (which should yield the "Composite" projection, except that no one seems to have an early screen shot of NY), I think some use the "Best Geo" projection, and Freeman says it's best to use WPE (which means that he actually figures out what the exit poll result 'should' have been).

"Is NY still the worst?"

NY is definitely not the worst in raw percentages, no matter what measure one uses (at least, not for any measure I can think of). In raw percentages, the worst is either DE or VT. If one converts the percentages to estimated votes, then NY is the worst if one uses either of the projections, and CA is the worst if one uses WPE. At least I think that is all true.
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