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Reply #142: I agree... [View All]

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Sancho Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-18-07 06:09 PM
Response to Reply #11
142. I agree...
random checks would find some issues. Also, a team that responded to early patterns would resolve issues. Convergent analyses with multivariate statistics would find issues. Etc., etc.

We agree there needs to be multiple checks on the system.

I DON'T agree with your finding that there no manipulation in the 2004 election (if that is what you claim, and I apologize in advance if that is not what you meant). You did not find evidence with your particular parametric analysis. You may not have power in the data to detect the difference in such a test. Your finding DOES NOT MEAN that there was not a problem - only that your test was not able to detect the problem and reject the null.

That is part of the continuing debate between you, TIA, OTOH, etc.

I'm ready to quit arguing about the "correct" use of statistical assumptions, and challenge the system to be able to detect any and all possible future manipulations if they occur. Exit polls could help with that IF they would alter or add some sampling design to their overall least that's my opinion.

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