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Reply #58: I found it interesting [View All]

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Febble Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-16-07 04:46 AM
Response to Reply #53
58. I found it interesting
that turnout was supposed to be increased by 66% in the Big Cities according to the National reweighted numbers (and not dissimilarly in tne pre-reweighted numbers). Then I realised that the actual numbers of precincts in each category would be very small, and so the 66% is almost certainly wrong (as the official returns suggest). So the most likely explanation is that the Big City precincts in the NEP National sample were unrepresentative.

2, I'd look into actual turnout figures, rather than the NEP estimates made on such a tiny sample.

3. I am not at all sure what is inferred by the OP, because it not only suggests that the NEP data indicates padded turnout in the big cities but that this is belied by the actual returns. I suppose one could argue that the NEP data is correct, that the turnout was fraudulently padded, then covered up in the official returns. But there is a much more parsimonious explanation.

So you are not looking for vote-switching? Or vote deletion? Or ballot stuffing? What are you looking for? Those are what I was looking for, when I wasn't also looking for voter suppression (which I found).
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