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Reply #165: TIA always did have a way with plots [View All]

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OnTheOtherHand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-09-07 08:02 PM
Response to Reply #164
165. TIA always did have a way with plots
Edited on Tue Oct-09-07 08:03 PM by OnTheOtherHand
Really, I'll just leave it as an open challenge to the forum to explain the lines in the first one <Image>.

Umm, yes, late vote shares are correlated with exit poll results: Kerry tended to do better in states where he did better. Go figure.

It seems a bit much to assert a "consistent pattern of a higher Kerry share of late votes" when, in the five jurisdictions with the largest shares of "late votes," the changes in Kerry vote share (according to TIA's data) were +3, -1, 0, 0, and -2. But in most of the rest the "late votes" were indeed more Democratic. Probably a lot of these were provisional ballots, as we've discussed before. Are provisional ballots indistinguishable from all other voters? I didn't think TIA ever thought so before.

edit to fix formatting
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