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Reply #124: well, maybe -- maybe it's something else? on a substantive note... [View All]

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OnTheOtherHand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-26-07 08:38 AM
Response to Reply #123
124. well, maybe -- maybe it's something else? on a substantive note...
I had missed or forgotten Alvarez et al.'s study just before the 2006 election (fielded in late October).
I've been wanting to read a credible voter confidence study with more than one or two questions, although this one is certainly not very extensive.

One question read, "How confident are you that your ballot in the November of 2004 presidential contest between George Bush and John Kerry was counted as you intended? Would you say that you are very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?"
Among registered voters who are likely to vote, 75% responded that they were confident their votes were counted as intended during the 2004 election (55% were very confident and 20% were somewhat confident) and 22% responded as possessing a lack of confidence (12% were not too confident and 10% were not at all confident).

The percentage who are confident that other people's ballots were counted as intended could be lower. (Lest anyone be confused, I'm obviously not offering this as a measure of confidence in e-voting. It is what it is: a question about vote counting in 2004.) They note that in responding to a similar question in March 2005, only 11% expressed a lack of confidence (6% "not too," 5% "not at all").

Then there was a series of questions:
You may have heard discussion about the use of electronic touchscreen or direct recording electronic voting machines that will be used in the November 2006 elections. I am going to read you some statements about electronic voting and want to know whether you agree or disagree with each statement or if you have no opinion. Some people say that electronic voting systems are:
More accurate
Increase the potential for fraud
Prone to unintentional failures
Make voting easier for people with disabilities.

Here is a summary of the responses, in the order presented by the analysts (the order in the survey was rotated) :

Agree Disagree No opinion
Increase the potential for fraud 38.3 25.3 36.4
More accurate 41.2 23.9 34.9
...easier for people w/disabilities 56.2 14.2 29.6
Prone to unintentional failures 41.6 21.0 37.4

Pretty remarkably high "no opinion" figures, even considering that no opinion was explicitly offered as a choice. No 90%s here in any direction, obviously. I'm not drawing any strong inferences about voting attitudes, just passing along the info.
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