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Reply #23: the Harris link worked for me, but it isn't Lou Harris [View All]

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OnTheOtherHand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-08-07 03:08 PM
Response to Reply #22
23. the Harris link worked for me, but it isn't Lou Harris
As I already pointed out, Lou Harris hasn't actually worked with Lou Harris & Associates for over a decade. In any case, whoever did write this says that the election is "still too close to call" using telephone polls, that the Internet poll "suggests" a narrow Kerry victory, and that undecideds "frequently" split 2:1 to 4:1 for the challenger. I'm not sure why TIA thinks this helps his case very much. And of course he continues to ignore my analysis of the historical data on undecideds, because TIA just Doesn't Do discrepant data.

As for Zogby, here's a tasty tidbit:
The key reason why I still think that Kerry will win, perhaps, possibly (laughter) -- have I made myself clear here? Okay.

Not to TIA, I guess. TIA claims that the pre-election polls support over 99% confidence that Kerry would win. I guess he is just way, way smarter than the "world-class pollsters."

The rest of this does seem to boil down to (1) demanding that we repeat ourselves, and (2) claiming that everything we say is obviously wrong, although never explaining why.
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