Reply #22: According to TIA's definition, I qualify as a "naysayer".

[kiwi_expat]

In a post on PI, TIA used the phrase "exit poll naysayers". (It was a fleeting glimpse: he removed the phrase in an edit.) I believe sampling bias is possible, so, officially, I'm a "naysayer". I don't trust either the official vote count or the exit polls.

I am pretty well convinced that if you include the uncounted votes and voter suppression, Kerry won Ohio. In fact, based on the extent of the documented voter suppression in Ohio, I would go so far as to say "The Election was Stolen".

Maybe "Ohio always LAGS the national Democratic vote" does indicate that the popular vote was stolen too. For all I know, the popular vote may have been stolen by voter suppression. The only other state that I know much about is Florida in 2000, where Gore won on the uncounted (over)votes - but where vast amounts of voter suppression occurred also.

But it is important to keep in mind that voter suppression can not show up in the exit polls.