You are viewing an obsolete version of the DU website which is no longer supported by the Administrators. Visit The New DU.
Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Reply #23: ...unlikely to be due to chance. [View All]

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU
Febble Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-22-05 03:23 PM
Response to Reply #21
23. ...unlikely to be due to chance.
Yes. You are absolutely right. It was not due to chance. No-one, least of all Mitofsky disputes that.

The question is: what was it due to? Something was biased. It was either the count or the poll.

The evidence IMO to date strongly favours the poll, although I would agree that the data leave room for enough fraud to swing Ohio (with a following wind and, of course, voter suppression).

The MoE only tells you the margin of error due to random sampling. It tells you absolutely nothing about non-sampling error. Sources of non-sampling in surveys include non-response bias and sampling bias. They are challenging methodological problems that are remarkably hard to eliminate, and you can rarely be sure you have done so, certainly not if your response rate is only around 50%.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 

Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC