Reply #165: sorry, is there a question here?

[OnTheOtherHand]

Basic line of analysis: the exit polls diverged from the official count; the exit polls were weighted to match the official count; we are looking to see whether anything in the weighted results is screamingly unlikely -- and, if so, whether that evinces fraud, or just an artifact of weighting.

The 43/37 recalled-vote split seemed screamingly unlikely, but I don't think it is, because of the extensive evidence from multiple sources of misremembered votes retrospectively favoring incumbents in general (although not in all cases -- e.g. Nixon) and W. in particular. It was interesting, I learned something from it, and I hope that someday you will too.

Is there something else in here that you consider screamingly unlikely?