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Reply #108: Do pay attention at the back, there [View All]

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Febble Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-23-05 02:29 AM
Response to Reply #87
108. Do pay attention at the back, there
No-one (in this game, anyway) is arguing that people forgot who they'd voted for five minutes back. The argument is that a proportion of voters may have forgotten who they voted for four years back.

So no, it's not like asking you who you voted for last year. It's four times as long, and as you rightly say, auto, memory degrades over time. Using actual data from actual longitidudinal studies, OTOH has extrapolated data-backed numbers for this phenomena.

And it appears that, using these numbers, plus the postulated exit poll bias, he can reproduce the unweighted exit poll table, assuming, as per the rules, no zombie voters, and equal turnout of Bush and Gore voters.

No penalty.

Play on!
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