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Reply #15: Commentary On The Above Graph... What It Means [View All]

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althecat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 04:51 AM
Response to Reply #14
15. Commentary On The Above Graph... What It Means
Again the key thing that is wrong with this graph is that it is not balanced - but now the effect is infinitely more obvious.

QUOTING FAUN OTTER Here

The Bush people argue that the exit polls are skewed by the methodology employed. It is odd that they dont say what that error producing part of the methodology might be. A skew means a systematic error is introduced by the test protocol and causes a consistent shift in one direction.

IF this was true, then all the exit polls would show the same sort of shift from 'actual' results.


As you can see in this case they do... to a point.... but only in the swing states which is the odd thing.

The GOP offer an alternative argument that the exit polls are not large enough samples and therefore the results are off by a large random error.

IF this was true, then the exit polls should scatter on either side of the actual result, especially if the final result is close to 50/50.


Which they don't. They almost all favour the GOP. Most of them outside of the margin of error.
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