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Reply #30: depends on how literal you like your examples [View All]

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OnTheOtherHand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-28-05 12:07 PM
Response to Reply #29
30. depends on how literal you like your examples
I don't think anyone suggests that people overreport their voting by as large a proportion as those Midwestern Catholics overreport their mass attendance. (I doubt it is even mathematically possible.)

But I betcha a bunch of people reported having voted in 2000 when they didn't vote at all. And, weird as this may seem in a crowd of partisan Democrats, I betcha some people who did vote think they voted for the incumbent when they actually didn't. We could look at one of the NES panel surveys to estimate people's propensity to "change their minds" about who they voted for (and whether they voted at all). We've already looked at the 2002 and 2004 NES surveys and seen that, for whatever reason, remembered Bush voters outnumber remembered Gore voters even though actual Gore voters outnumbered actual Bush voters.

It's all subject to debate. I just think DUers have a right to know why TIA's argument frankly isn't as compelling as he seems to think it is.
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