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Reply #20: the "theft gap" should be much higher [View All]

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foo_bar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-27-05 10:24 PM
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20. the "theft gap" should be much higher
Once you take into account the millions of people deprived of a vote (who don't show up on exit polls, unless they lied.)

But people lie about their past intentions routinely:

After the first wave of scholarly discussion, Hadaway et al. returned to Ashtabula County to measure Catholic attendance. They counted heads at all of the regularly scheduled masses in the county-38 in 13 parishes-over a several-month period. Based on the count, they projected an average weekly attendance of 24 percent of the Catholic population (a figure not far out of line with numbers reported by many Midwestern Catholic dioceses based on their own head counts). They then polled a scientifically valid sample of Ashtabula County residents by telephone. Fifty-one percent of Roman Catholic respondents said they had attended church during the past week.

Thus the "overstatement gap" snapped into focus. In the United States, the difference between attendance levels of 20 and 40 percent is immense-a swing of at least 50 million people. Institutional religion, far from being stable and vital in the United States, might well be weakening under the cover of misleading poll data. Any way one looks at it, there was a substantial religion news story to cover.
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