You are viewing an obsolete version of the DU website which is no longer supported by the Administrators. Visit The New DU.
Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login

Reply #15: Myopia strikes again! [View All]

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU
mgr Donating Member (616 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-27-05 06:08 PM
Response to Original message
15. Myopia strikes again!
There are two ways the 43/37 split can occur if one accepts the data that suggests the band wagon effect--either gore voters state that they voted for bush, or that bush supporters that did not vote, say that they voted for bush. If you assume that it is primarily from the second population, then you have no argument. Argument 2 dissappears like morning fog.

The other problem is that a poll is an estimate--you have 3,000 respondants, there is no reason not to suspect that elsewhere in the 121,997,000 odd voters, that you may have missed a few who did not vote in the previous election, and went for Bush, and who are not first time voters (e.g. new voters).

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top

Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators

Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC