Reply #8: Actually all you'd have to believe is that Bush won the Electoral College!

[Bill Bored]

Why don't we concentrate on that for a change, TIA?

Mandate, schmandate, there's no Constitutional right to vote for President, so who cares about the popular vote?

Now if you can prove Kerry won Ohio or FL, or NM, IA and NV, you'd really have something!

How about applying some of your methodologies to these states?
Do we have enough data? There are only 5 of them.

BTW, at the state level, Exit Poll Completion Rate was inversely correlated to the Kerry vote. In other words, Bush voters were MORE likely to respond (r= -0.28, p=.05) than Kerry voters. But I'm not happy with this analysis because when you weight it by state populations (Electoral Votes) it's no longer significant.

Comments?