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Reply #235: Do your homework, darlin', I did no jiggering. I used registered voter [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-21-05 07:13 PM
Response to Reply #231
235. Do your homework, darlin', I did no jiggering. I used registered voter
Edited on Sun Aug-21-05 07:14 PM by TruthIsAll
polls when they were available. In lieu of that, I used likely voters. I used 18 of the most popular polls.

You infer that I was cherry-picking. I will not infer, but I will state very clearly that you out of control.

If you preferred the likely voter model, be my guest. But you were wrong. In this election, the registered voter polls made more sense because of the large number of new voters who were not "likely" voters having never voted.

As usual, your propensity to naysay anything I do gets in the way of logical thought. If you check MP (I don't have the link) he agreed with my assertion that Kerry led in a majority of the final national polls.

I said it was 11 of 18. I was correct. I believe he also had it just about the same.

Once again, my model predicted that Kerry would win 51.6-51.8% of the two party vote. As it turned out, I was wrong. He did even better than that. Eat your heart out.

What did your model project?

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