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Reply #199: I've always thought that negotiating the shape of the table was legit... [View All]

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anaxarchos Donating Member (963 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Aug-20-05 04:15 PM
Response to Reply #198
199. I've always thought that negotiating the shape of the table was legit...

As far as 10 points go, they are entirely arbitrary. There are only a few points in my post that really matter. The rest are to "keep it light", etc.

On wobble, if that is all you imply, I stand corrected.

On playing by "my rules", I'm making it up as I go along... same as you. I'm cool about any changes you may propose. Same goes for how we start... although we probably start with basic assumptions (i.e. 122 million votes, how many returning, how many new, etc.).

On 5 and 6, I'm also cool with setting aside the retrospective question entirely for now (Shouldn't be that tough if the object is the election and not the "validity of the exit poll", etc.). What concerns me are the obvious circular arguments: We can't trust the retrospective question because of response error ("notoriously unreliable") but that response error suddenly becomes "notoriously reliable" in order to prove a red-shift that is indicated by no other data... We'll use "reason" and "virtue" and self-restraint.


("I think we may already have started", he thinks to himself as he hits the ball in a long arching lob back over the net...)

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