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Reply #159: looks like confusion about rounding error [View All]

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OnTheOtherHand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-19-05 07:22 PM
Response to Reply #147
159. looks like confusion about rounding error
Foo is talking about margins on the order of 400 votes out of 120 million. I think he took your "x1=.9618 -.9898*x2" (from the other thread) as exact rather than rounded.

So, to summarize, your equation shows that under these assumptions, the break-even point is approximately x1 + x2 = 96.3% across the range of interest (where x2 is somewhere around 0.1). x1 is the percentage of Gore 2000 voters that Kerry holds, and x2 is the percentage of Bush 2000 voters that Kerry takes. If x1 = 90%, and x2 = 6.3% or better, then Kerry wins. If x1 = 90%, and x2 = 6.2% or less, than Bush wins. (The popular vote, that is.)

Would you say you have demonstrated that this is impossible, because x1 + x2 must equal at least 96.3%?
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