You are viewing an obsolete version of the DU website which is no longer supported by the Administrators. Visit The New DU.
Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Reply #42: asked and answered [View All]

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU
OnTheOtherHand Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-17-05 04:23 PM
Response to Reply #36
42. asked and answered
Edited on Wed Aug-17-05 04:52 PM by OnTheOtherHand
I (among others) already tore apart the math -- or, rather, I smashed the assumptions on which the math was based. You insist on treating the question "Who did you vote for in 2000?" (or whatever the actual wording was) as if it had a one-to-one correspondence with whom people had actually voted for in 2000.

We have ample evidence that this assumption is wrong.

For whatever reason, you change the subject every time I cite the evidence.

(EDIT: Oh, but I think I see why you are confused. I will try to show you the numbers in another way. --I will be going to my daughter's soccer practice soon. Given that false vote recall typically benefits the incumbent and demonstrably did so in 2002, we can expect some people who _didn't_ vote in 2000 to claim that they voted for Bush. And we can expect some people who voted for Gore to claim that they voted for Bush. Not only does that throw off the percentages in each category, but it will throw off the marginal percentages within the categories. The poll can be expected to exaggerate Kerry's support among new voters and Gore voters, because some of them will not only vote for Bush in 2004 but "retroactively defect" to Bush in 2000. So rejecting the first set of percentages and accepting the second does lead to strange results, but that doesn't represent an internal contradiction.)
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 

Home » Discuss » Topic Forums » Election Reform Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC